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    BoE: Raising Rates Would Risk Recession

    Bank of England governor Sir Mervyn King has said that raising interest rates would send the UK into recession.

    Presenting the Bank of England's latest economic forecasts, he also said that the economy is expected to recover "gradually", but that it would "zigzag" this year, dipping in and out of growth.

    Output is likely to be volatile this year, especially given the impact of one-off factors such as the additional bank holiday granted for the Queen's Diamond Jubilee .

    The report - presented as official figures showed UK unemployment figures rose to 2.67 million up to December - said the outlook for growth was broadly in line with the November forecast, and that it is expected at around 1.2% in 2012.

    But the Bank of England governor warned that the biggest risk to recovery was the eurozone crisis. He said he does not think anyone can be fully prepared in the event of a Greek default.

    The Bank of England also said that potential disruptions to supply of oil - for example through Iran's threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, a vital trade route - would pose risks to its inflation forecast.

    The headline rate of inflation dropped to its lowest level since November 2010, in a sign that the pressure on cash-strapped households has continued to ease.

    The consumer prices index (CPI) rate fell to 3.6% on an annual basis in January, from 4.2% in December.

    The rate is more than a percentage point away from the Government's 2% target.

    But Sir Mervyn said he thinks inflation may drop to the 2% target in the final three months of 2012, before falling to as low as 1.5% in 2013.

     

    77 comments

    • nailed  •  3 months ago
      How pathetic. The BOE has dropped the interest rate to 0.5% - why are the banks allowed to charge above 7% to businesses??? So an increase in interest rate just means more profit for the banks as they are not paying any interest on credit balances.
      • Louise 3 months ago
        That would seem to be correct.
      • nailed 3 months ago
        CAP the interest rates the banks can charge. Its not fair they borrow our money at 0% and lend it to others at 7%. The Banks themselves borrow from the BOE at 0.7% and then lend it to us for 7%. THAT IS DAY LIGHT ROBBERY....
      • A Yahoo! User 3 months ago
        Apply direct to the bank of England for your loan-after all they are a private company and used to run bank accounts...
    • D B  •  3 months ago
      So, basically, prices are going up at a slightly slower rate. Great, considering I have had no pay rise for over 5 years.
      • davey 3 months ago
        You've got it! It's not getting better, it's getting worse at a lower rate.! And I've not had a rise above the rate of inflation for about 18 years, or the last time we went on strike. Comes of being in the public sector, I suppose.
    • Lorne I  •  St Albans, England  •  3 months ago
      He is too busy bailing out his pals with QE cash - you know the ones ? Yes, the ones responsible for creating the disaster of an economy we now have and are now profiting from the mess they created.
      • davey 3 months ago
        Maybe Millionaire's Row in the Tory front bench would like to help out from their own funds.
      • TOM FOOLERY 3 months ago
        You are jesting, them part with money, nah, they only like to collect it, not part with it.
    • Fili  •  London, England  •  3 months ago
      Is this fool trying to blame the country lagging on an extra bank holiday, no wonder this countries finances are a joke.
      Try lowering prices so people can spend and capping supermarkets as they are one of the biggest causes of price food inflation!
      • TOM FOOLERY 3 months ago
        Fili, its not just the supermarkets that are to blame, the Government are the biggest culprits for high prices, because of the amount of Fuel Duty they put on Petrol/Diesel, if they dropped the amount they put on down to 29% Petrol could be sold at 80p a litre, and also dont forget the Fuel Duty is a tax put on top of VAT.
    • Mark  •  London, England  •  3 months ago
      Where's this bloke been living last 5 years? under a bloody rock or something???
      • TOM FOOLERY 3 months ago
        I say he should crawl back under his rock and go to sleep.
    • Webmaster G  •  3 months ago
      I'm sick of seeing the face of that lying sack of shyte...
    • posh64  •  Peterborough, England  •  3 months ago
      Been in a recession four the last four years!!!
    • POLYPHEMUS  •  Lancaster, England  •  3 months ago
      Hit the greedy supermarkets price of food is awful as a pensioner I feel it hard Families with children I dont know how they make ends meet. Putting VAT up to 20% hit us hard except the filthy rich Dave and his chums havnt a clue what damage they are doing to society.
    • paul  •  London, England  •  3 months ago
      send us into recession? i thought we were already in one.
      whatever way you dress it up, we will be the losers. its not a recession for cameron and his monkey mates. instead of creating wars and fake revolutions in far away places, why not create some jobs?
    • THE GOVERNMENT  •  3 months ago
      But he warned that
      potential disruptions to supply of oil,
      for example
      over Iran situation,
      poses upside risk to inflation forecast.

      SO REDIRECT OUR OWN OIL SITUATION RESOLVED

      ITS LIKE SAYING AS WE DONT KNOW THE WEATHER FOR THIS YEAR SO WE ARE CHARGING YOU EXTRA NOW FOR YOUR MESSAGES AS WE MIGHT NOT HAVE ENOUGH

      TELL ME WILL THAT RESOLVCE ANYTHING IF THE WORST COMES APART FROM YOU GREEDY BAS********S MAKING MORE MONEY.
    • barrie  •  Slough, England  •  3 months ago
      things have to change vat must come down air duty must be abolished fuel prices must be affordable to everybody , i think the british people are just about fed up with keep being fleeced by the governments we elect everything i need to get done or buy i try and do it without the vat i am totally against this rip of tax time for this country to stand up and be counted
    • COLIN  •  London, England  •  3 months ago
      We would be okay if Politicians were not in charge of the Country. We just go from one crisis to another owing to their incompetence and lack of real knowledge of how people live and survive. They spend our money like water and in all honesty they haven't got a clue. I dont suppose we need worry too much though because it wont be long before India or China take us over.
    • A Yahoo! User  •  Maidenhead, England  •  3 months ago
      What he is saying is he cannot afford to raise interest rates to protect the pound from the speculation caused by his bank and therefore be prepared for a further 20% reduction in the buying value of your wages...............
    • P  •  Sheffield, England  •  3 months ago
      DOES NOT SEEM TO AFFECT BANKERS BONUSES STILL SOMEBODY HAS TO PAY FOR THE PEOPLE WHO STARTED IT ALL ???? SKINT???
    • army1  •  Edinburgh, Scotland  •  3 months ago
      Double edged sword king, as you cant encourage borrowing and debt forever,the banks would be knackered without savers who are are treat like s--t.
    • colin  •  3 months ago
      we are already in it, they just wont addmit it
    • We Are Legion  •  3 months ago
      Maybe it's just me, but this guy seems to have no F***king idea what he's doing.
    • overtaxed for life  •  3 months ago
      How can the BOE· allow the rest of the banking system to borrow at such low rates.
      The only winners in this are the banks as usual, borrow at half a percent and lend at 7 or 8, it certainly will not get anything moving.
      The lending rate should be capped allowing for administration costs plus perhaps one percent profit people could then borrow at around 3 or 4 % and money would start flowing into the economy again.
    • chris  •  Kos, Greece  •  3 months ago
      I wished I had his crystal ball so I could loan money from the B.o.E. at 0.5 percent to the Banks, and then see where to put it to earn 6/7/8/9 percent interest from the people I loan it to. And if he is totally wrong, will the goverment stop His bonuses ?.
    • jonjo  •  Manchester, England  •  3 months ago
      GOVERNMENT increases inflation every budget day, not the working man. why dont the boe urge cammeron and his croonies to stop billions in unpaid tax by the rich leaving our shores never to be seen again.