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    China's Ghost Cities Fuel Boom-To-Bust Fears

    China's "ghost cities" show that the country's economic boom could be more fragile than it appears.

    Kangbashi is a showcase city, laid out spaciously on the grasslands of northern China.

    It was dreamt up by the local secretary of the Communist Party as a monument to the country's new-found prosperity.

    The place is dominated by impressive public buildings - a marble-clad library, a state-of-the-art theatre and a giant convention centre.

    In the centre of town a 70m-high statue of two fighting horses looms over Genghis Khan Square.

    The only thing missing is the people.

    Kangbashi was built to house one million residents, but so far only 20,000 have moved in.

    Acres of apartment complexes - many of them luxurious by Chinese standards - are deserted. Store fronts are boarded up.

    When they first began building Kangbashi, there was a frenzy of investment. The local government contributed a £200m road network. Nearly all of the homes that now lie empty were sold off-plan.

    The buyers were China's cashed-up new middle class. The country's poorly-regulated stock markets, along with controls on investing overseas, have made second, third and even fourth homes a popular store of wealth.

    But from the very outset, Kangbashi defied all economic logic. There's no industry in the city, and no real reason to live there.

    Now Kangbashi - along with other "ghost cities" dotted around China - has come to symbolise what many believe is a dangerous property bubble that could be primed to pop.

    The scale of China's housing boom is staggering. Over the past five years the country has built nearly 40 million new homes. In some cities the price of housing has tripled in the same period.

    Chinese economist Zhang Bin said: "If you look at financial crises, they're always accompanied by property bubbles.

    "Lower property prices would definitely be more sustainable and healthy, but a sharp drop would mean a big contraction in the economy and problems like unemployment."

    In Kangbashi, many think the bubble has already popped. 

    Businessman Wang Pen spent his life savings buying a two-bedroom apartment. He says its value has fallen by 20% since the start of the year.

    But Mr Wang finds it difficult to believe that the good times will ever stop rolling.

    "When I bought this one three years ago I was still poor, so it's a bit small," he said.

    "Now I'm thinking of getting another place, something bigger."

    If the bubble bursts on a nationwide scale, it could be disastrous, not just for China, but for global economic recovery.

    China is now the world's second-biggest economy , and by some estimates nearly half of its GDP is in some way linked to property.

    Alistair Thornton, Beijing-based economist with HIS Global Insight, said: "Property is the core of the Chinese economy.

    "With the eurozone weak and the US stagnant, a sharp contraction in the world's largest growth engine would have a dramatic effect. It's not a good story."

     

    220 comments

    • Hesperus  •  3 months ago
      Could be time to think about bringing manufacturing back home even though greedy businessmen may have to be satisfied with 100% profit instead of 1000%.
    • west by west  •  3 months ago
      So what here in Norfolk we have second home ghost villages which only come to life in the summer when the Bankers arrive then die the rest of the year.
    • mike  •  3 months ago
      Don't bother me, I'm already poor
    • Vote Against Greed  •  3 months ago
      The same thing happened in Dubai....There are hundreds of empty tower blocks and half built housing estates. When the recession hit....the investors left...and many people never got their home and poor home buyers lost thousands in deposits. Now...the UK government want to get people buying homes again by dangling the carrot again and giving out money to help youngsters buy a home....Then....when they lose their jobs and can,t pay their way....it will be the benefit system paying the loans...The UK is now burdened with ever increasing Social Security benefit claimants....and that will continue to rise unless we get our industry and manufacturing back . A land full of Tesco,s and Asda,s will be the only winners.
    • TG  •  2 months ago
      So now the Chinese might go broke just like the rest of the planet! So the big question is - Where's all the money gone and who's got it?
    • beamer1  •  2 months ago
      china has 20,000 prisons where prisoners turn out all sorts of goods for the export market, making the government untold wealth with these prison factories.
    • ignorant clod  •  3 months ago
      Sounds like they need some Eastern European migrants living there, That should get the city booming in no time. plus enhance their culture.
    • Artie Ziff  •  3 months ago
      Not surprising really as most of Chinas new found wealth was created from selling stuff to us on our credit cards. Now we're skint it stands to reason that China will be selling less and so on and so on.....
    • Hedgehogs in the Mist  •  3 months ago
      Great. Let's get British manufacturing back on track! Jobs for all.
    • nicola r  •  3 months ago
      Lets all go and live in caves.Hunt for our food and sit round a camp fire on a night !!! ahh bliss. No more bills.No rubbish tv and no work with bully bosses who think there back in the dark ages thinking they can push people around cos 300 people apply for every job.
    • john  •  3 months ago
      Electronics market aside will anyone miss the stinking plastic goods or the tools that seem to be made from plastic or may aswell be.
    • Borat  •  3 months ago
      the new Ireland. We have about 100000 new homes sitting empty.
    • ABIB104  •  3 months ago
      with all those empty houses they could take all of the immigrants from the UK and house them and still have lots of empty houses as a standby just incase some of there own wanted them.or better still let China join the EU that way they could take all the so called assylum seekers as well, then we could get the hell out of it and leave all yhose in favour of the EU to it
    • Jonny  •  3 months ago
      Ahhh good old China, otherwise known as the USA's industrial area.
    • At the end of the day....  •  3 months ago
      Just like the property boom in Spain and Dubai. Hopefully this will reduce all the copper, bronze and other metal thefts all round the world to meet their demand for raw materials.
    • michael  •  3 months ago
      Hah! So China is a capitalist country after all
    • hadenoughofit  •  3 months ago
      this could potentally be most serious to the world economy . china is holding vast amounts of th usa debt and large chunks of european debt. japan went the same way ,when its property market collapsed, and it still hasn't recovered this mad drive to growth year on year is unsustainable .
    • Wayne C  •  3 months ago
      Amazing! The UK has not built any homes at all when compared to need and the Chinese have built 40 million in 5 years!! According to the Exeter planning director the UK was supposed to build 250,000 every year for the last 20 years. When I did research I found out that we have instead built approx 250,000 over that last 3 years. Haha!! They have what we need (homes) and we have what they need (residents). Maybe China could open up it's doors to migrant workers and students and flood their housing market! We opened up our border, but we failed to plan for the population increase. Now we are stuffed 4 or 5 to a house!
    • billy  •  3 months ago
      feel free to take our foreign scroungers
    • Nancy B  •  2 months ago
      Whilst in the US a few years ago, I paid a visit to a large well-known department store, not to buy anything but to compare prices with the UK. What surprised me was the lack of choice for electrical goods, etc. When I spoke to an employee, I was informed that US citizens can buy any make but anything that is imported comes with a very hefty import tax making the goods uncompetative - result - most Americans buy US manufactured goods. Perhaps we would take a leaf out of their book and that would help provide jobs in our manufacturing companies. Government , please take note!