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Boris Johnson would lose his seat if Britain went to the polls tomorrow

The findings will heap more pressure on Boris Johnson, who faces calls to quit following the Sue Gray partygate report - John Sibley/Reuters
The findings will heap more pressure on Boris Johnson, who faces calls to quit following the Sue Gray partygate report - John Sibley/Reuters

Boris Johnson would lose almost every battleground seat – including his own – if a general election were held tomorrow, new polling has revealed.

A YouGov survey predicted that the Tories would lose all but three of the 54 seats they seized from Labour three years ago in a reversal of the Red Wall rout.

Every constituency they flipped in the north of England would return to Sir Keir Starmer’s party, with only a trio in the Midlands staying blue. On top of that, the Conservatives would cede a further 34 “battleground” seats they won by a margin of 15 points or fewer at the last election.

The findings will heap more pressure on Mr Johnson, who is facing calls to quit from his backbenchers following the Sue Gray partygate report.

Experts forecast that the Prime Minister would lose his 7,210 majority in Uxbridge and Ruislip, with Labour seizing the constituency. His would be one of three major north London seats to fall to a Labour resurgence if an election were held tomorrow.

Sir Iain Duncan Smith, a former Conservative leader, in Chingford and Woodford Green, and Theresa Villiers, the ex-Northern Ireland secretary, in Chipping Barnet, would also be ousted.

Other high-profile predicted victims of the predicted Tory rout include Alok Sharma, who would lose Reading West, and the former Brexit minister Steve Baker, who would lose Wycombe.

Almost all the new intake of Red Wall MPs elected in 2019 would be ousted after just one term.

Labour would win back its most symbolic losses, including Tony Blair’s former seat in Sedgefield, and Bolsover, for years represented by Dennis Skinner.

The Tories would cling on to Ashfield and Bassetlaw, both in Nottinghamshire, and Dudley North, in the West Midlands.

But they would lose all nine battleground seats they currently hold in Wales, with eight going to Labour and the island of Anglesey to Plaid Cymru.

The survey comes with the Government having faced a slew of negative headlines over the partygate scandal and the cost-of-living crisis in recent weeks.

Sir Bob Neill became the latest Tory MP to submit a letter of no confidence on Friday night, warning that the party will lose power unless Mr Johnson is ousted.

“It is profoundly in the national interest that the Conservatives win the next election but it requires a change of leader for us to do so”, he wrote in The Telegraph.

Alicia Kearns, the Rutland and Melton MP, also urged Mr Johnson to quit, saying he had misled Parliament and “brought our Government and my party into disrepute”.

Earlier, the first minister resigned in response to the Gray report, with Paul Holmes quitting as Priti Patel’s parliamentary private secretary.

So far at least 22 MPs have submitted letters of no confidence in Mr Johnson, with 54 required to trigger a vote on his leadership.  Around 60 backbenchers have expressed dissatisfaction with him but not all have written to Sir Graham Brady, the 1922 committee chairman.

The survey shows how an election would pan out if it were held now, and Mr Johnson will argue he has plenty of time to turn things around.

David Canzini, his deputy chief of staff, has told Tory MPs to prepare for the contest next autumn, as revealed by The Telegraph.

Yougov polled 15,045 voters across England between May 19 and 27, and a further 2,086 people in Wales between April 28 and May 27. The majority of those will have been asked for their opinions before Rishi Sunak unveiled his £21 billion cost of living rescue package on Thursday.