New Brazil coronavirus variant ‘likely’ already in UK, SAGE scientist warns

Matt Watts
·3-min read
<p>A Covid-19 patient is transferred in a military airplane to a different hospital as health services in Manaus, Brazil, are overwhelmed by cases linked to the new strain of coronavirus. A Government expert today said the variant is now “likely” in the UK</p> (AFP via Getty Images)

A Covid-19 patient is transferred in a military airplane to a different hospital as health services in Manaus, Brazil, are overwhelmed by cases linked to the new strain of coronavirus. A Government expert today said the variant is now “likely” in the UK

(AFP via Getty Images)

A concerning new Brazilian variant of coronavirus is likely to already be in the UK, a Government scientist has warned.

Leading epidemiologist, professor John Edmunds, a member of the Government’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage), said on Saturday he would find it “unusual” if the second of two new variants from Brazil was not already present, despite it not yet being detected.

The Government banned flights from South America, Portugal and Cape Verde on Thursday in response to the emergence of the new variant, having previously banned travel from South Africa because of a new Covid strain. It is closing all travel corridors from Monday to counter the spread of all variant strains of the virus.

The Brazilian variant is said to be highly transmissible. Health services in Brazil have been overwhelmed by a surge in cases believed to be linked to the strain.

Prof Edmunds told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme: “In terms of the South African one, we had imported cases already by the time we put in additional restrictions for South African travellers.

“For the Brazilian one... I don’t think there is evidence that we’ve imported cases of the Manaus strain, as far as I’m aware at least, but it is likely that we probably have quite honestly.

“We are one of the most connected countries in the world so I would find it unusual if we hadn’t imported some cases into the UK.”

A first Brazilian variant has a small number of mutations and eight genomically confirmed cases of this variant have been identified in the UK.

The second, which has been detected in Manaus and in travellers arriving in Japan and is worrying experts far more, has not been detected in the UK so far.

Brazil has been struggling to cope with the new Covid variantREUTERS
Brazil has been struggling to cope with the new Covid variantREUTERS

Labour accused the Government of “closing the door after the horse has bolted”, saying the announcement was too late to have stopped the arrival of “worrying” strains. Shadow home secretary Nick Thomas-Symonds told ministers to get a “comprehensive plan and to act in a proper, strategic way, not in the short-term chaotic way we’ve seen over the past twelve months”.

But aviation minister Robert Courts insisted that the new action amounted to “toughening up already tough requirements”.

The new policy means arrivals from every destination will need to self-isolate for 10 days, or receive a negative result from a coronavirus test taken at least five days after they enter the UK.

Professor Andrew Pollard, director of the Oxford Vaccine Group, said there would be lots of new coronavirus variants this year but the current vaccines should protect against the strains circulating in the UK.

He said that new variants were being detected early, and stressed: “If indeed we do need to make new vaccines we will be able to stand those up really quickly.”

More than 3.2 million people have now received a first dose of a Covid-19 vaccine in the UK - around double the number compared to last week.

The Government has set a target of vaccinating 15 million of the most vulnerable people in the UK by mid-February.

But Prof Edmunds cautioned against removing coronavirus restrictions at that point, saying to do so would be a “disaster” that would place “enormous pressure” on the NHS.

He said: “I think it would be a disaster if we removed restrictions in, say, the end of February when we have gone through this first wave of the vaccination.

“First of all vaccines aren’t ever 100% protective, and so even those that have been vaccinated would be still at some risk.

“Secondly, it is only a small fraction of the population who would have been vaccinated and if you look at the hospitalisations at the moment, about half of them are in the under 70s, and they are not in the first wave to be vaccinated.

“If we relaxed our restrictions we would immediately put the NHS under enormous pressure again.”

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