Canada election 2021: Who do you think should win? Yahoo readers make decisive pick for winning party, next prime minister

·3-min read
Canadian federal party leaders Yves-François Blanchet, Erin O'Toole, Justin Trudeau, Jagmeet Singh, Annamie Paul

With the Conservatives and the Liberals running a tight race in the polls so far, whether or not the Liberals will remain in power following the September election continues to come into question.

While the majority of individuals who voted in a poll of Yahoo Canada readers indicated they support the Conservative Party, with Erin O'Toole as the ideal next PM, multiple surveys representative of the Canadian population expect the Liberals to just narrowing beat the Conservatives.

But ultimately, the two parties are essentially still tied in the majority of polls across Canada.

A poll by Nanos Research with CTV and The Globe and Mail, through a random telephone survey conducted nightly to maintain a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 respondents, with a new group of 400 eligible voters each evening, found that over the three nights ending Sept. 15, voting preference at that time would put the Liberals slightly ahead at 31.9 per cent, followed by the Conservatives at 30.3 per cent, NDP at 21.2 per cent, the People's Party at 6.7 per cent, Bloc Québécois at 6.4 per cent, and Green Party at 3.2 per cent.

A survey conducted by Abacus Data of 1,578 eligible voters who say they will definitely vote or have already voted, between Sept. 13 and Sept. 15, found that 33 per cent of respondents support the Liberals, 31 per cent would vote Conservative at this point. A total of 22 per cent would vote NDP, five per cent support the Bloc Québécois, five per cent would vote People's Party and three per cent would vote for the Green Party.

A poll from Ekos Research, a survey of 1,322 adults in Canada, conducted from Sept. 12 to Sept. 14, found that 31.8 per cent intend to or have already voted for the Liberal Party, but 31.8 per cent also support the Conservatives. The survey found that 19.1 per cent would vote or have voted NDP, 6.9 per cent support the People's Party, 6.4 per cent would vote for the Bloc Québécois and 3.3 per cent support the Green Party.

The latest poll from the Angus Reid Institute, conducted through online survey from Sept. 9 to Sept. 12 with a representative randomized sample of 1,840 Canadian adults who are members of Angus Reid Forum, found that 32 per cent of decided and leaning voters support the Conservative party, 30 per cent intend to vote Liberal, 21 per cent support the NDP, seven per cent support the Bloc Québécois, six per cent would vote People's Party and two per cent support the Green Party.

While party support is one aspect of voting, personal preference in terms of who would make the best, or most liked, prime minister is another piece of the puzzle.

The Nanos Research poll with CTV and The Globe and Mail found that Justin Trudeau is the most preferred prime minister with 30 per cent support, followed by Erin O'Toole at 27 per cent, Jagmeet Singh at 20.8 per cent, Maxime Bernier at 6.6 per cent, Yves-François Blanchet at 3.1 per cent and Annamie Paul with 2.2 per cent support.

Angus Reid Institute found that Singh continues to be viewed as the most favourable party leader in Canada with 53 per cent support, followed by Blanchet at 46 per cent favourability (Quebec only). O'Toole seems to be increasing in favourability among Canadians, according to this poll, now at 38 per cent, over Trudeau's 35 per cent.

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