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Did Changing Sentiment Drive Binhai Investment's (HKG:2886) Share Price Down A Worrying 69%?

Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But along the way some stocks are going to perform badly. For example, after five long years the Binhai Investment Company Limited (HKG:2886) share price is a whole 69% lower. That's not a lot of fun for true believers. It's down 4.4% in the last seven days.

View our latest analysis for Binhai Investment

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the five years over which the share price declined, Binhai Investment's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 7.2% each year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 21% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

SEHK:2886 Past and Future Earnings, February 24th 2020
SEHK:2886 Past and Future Earnings, February 24th 2020

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Binhai Investment's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Binhai Investment the TSR over the last 5 years was -65%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Binhai Investment shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 8.1% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 19% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Binhai Investment better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Binhai Investment (including 1 which is is a bit unpleasant) .

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.