How Does Sodexo's (EPA:SW) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Sodexo (EPA:SW) share price has dived 32% in the last thirty days. Indeed the recent decline has arguably caused some bitterness for shareholders who have held through the 38% drop over twelve months.

Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). Investors have optimistic expectations of companies with higher P/E ratios, compared to companies with lower P/E ratios.

See our latest analysis for Sodexo

Does Sodexo Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 13.24 that sentiment around Sodexo isn't particularly high. We can see in the image below that the average P/E (16.6) for companies in the hospitality industry is higher than Sodexo's P/E.

ENXTPA:SW Price Estimation Relative to Market March 29th 2020
ENXTPA:SW Price Estimation Relative to Market March 29th 2020

This suggests that market participants think Sodexo will underperform other companies in its industry. Many investors like to buy stocks when the market is pessimistic about their prospects. You should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

P/E ratios primarily reflect market expectations around earnings growth rates. If earnings are growing quickly, then the 'E' in the equation will increase faster than it would otherwise. Therefore, even if you pay a high multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become lower in the future. And as that P/E ratio drops, the company will look cheap, unless its share price increases.

Sodexo increased earnings per share by 3.8% last year. And it has bolstered its earnings per share by 7.2% per year over the last five years.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

Don't forget that the P/E ratio considers market capitalization. So it won't reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. Theoretically, a business can improve its earnings (and produce a lower P/E in the future) by investing in growth. That means taking on debt (or spending its cash).

Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.

Is Debt Impacting Sodexo's P/E?

Sodexo has net debt equal to 27% of its market cap. While it's worth keeping this in mind, it isn't a worry.

The Verdict On Sodexo's P/E Ratio

Sodexo has a P/E of 13.2. That's around the same as the average in the FR market, which is 13.2. With modest debt and some recent earnings growth, it seems likely the market expects a steady performance going forward. Given Sodexo's P/E ratio has declined from 19.5 to 13.2 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is significantly less confident about the business today, than it was back then. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for a contrarian, it may signal opportunity.

When the market is wrong about a stock, it gives savvy investors an opportunity. If it is underestimating a company, investors can make money by buying and holding the shares until the market corrects itself. So this free visual report on analyst forecasts could hold the key to an excellent investment decision.

But note: Sodexo may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.