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'Forget about 80p for bread': Fears Ukraine war will be disastrous for cost of living crisis

BATH, ENGLAND - MARCH 03:  Empty bread shelves are pictured in a  supermarket in Bath on March 3, 2018 in Somerset, England. Many parts of the UK are continuing to recover from the so called 'Beast from the East' with yellow warnings for snow and wind in place for some areas well into Monday.  (Photo by Matt Cardy/Getty Images)
Conflict in Ukraine will drive up prices in the UK. (Getty)

A Conservative MP has warned the war in Ukraine will have a disastrous impact on food and energy prices in the UK.

Vladimir Putin has launched a "full-scale invasion" of Ukraine with explosions being heard across the country and Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy confirming missile strikes on his country.

Conservative MP Tom Tugendhat, chair of the foreign affairs select committee, has warned the conflict could have a devastating effect on the escalating cost-of-living crisis across the UK.

"If we let this pass, then you can forget about petrol £1.70 a litre [for petrol], which is where it’s heading right now," Tugendhat said, shortly after the invasion was launched.

"It will be significantly higher, and you can forget about bread at 80, 90, £1 a loaf...

"You know, 10% of the world’s wheat is grown in Ukraine - and the idea that this year is going to be a good crop... I’m afraid this for the birds.

Ukrainian army soldier standing next to a machine gun at the defence line in Verkhnotoretske village that is situated on the very frontline between Ukraine and DPR armies positions. Russian diplomats will take part in talks with the United States in January 2022 on a list of security guarantees Moscow wants from Washington amid simmering tension between the pair over Ukraine. Russia's deputy defense minister in December 2021 warned foreign ambassadors of a
Vladimir Putin launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in the early hours of Thursday morning. (PA Images)
Committee chairman Tom Tugendhat speaking to the media at the Armagh city hotel as members of the Commons Foreign Affairs Committee came to Northern Ireland to discuss foreign policy and Brexit.
Foreign affairs select committee chairman, Conservative MP Tom Tugendhat, warned on Thursday the cost-of-living crisis will be 'driven by war'. (PA Images)

"This is absolutely going to be one of those moments where we’re going to see the cost of living crisis driven by war."

Europe heavily relies on commodities coming out of both Russia and Ukraine, triggering fears that a war in the region will drive up prices even further.

Ukraine is the biggest supplier of wheat to the continent, meaning it is likely essentials - such as bread - will will also see price increases.

Russia provides up to 40% of Europe's gas supplies, with warnings that Putin may hike gas prices in retaliation to sanctions from the West.

Tugendhat was also highly critical of Boris Johnson, accusing the prime minister and Nato allies of a "weak" response to Russia.

"I’m afraid weak sanctions like the ones that we introduced on Monday just encourage others to believe that we are weak, because we’re clearly not willing to do anything serious," he said.

"So what that did I’m afraid, on Monday, was it didn’t deter - it encouraged, because it gave the suggestion... that we weren’t willing to do anything serious now.

"If we are going to do sanctions... we need to do them extremely hard and extremely early."

KYIV, UKRAINE - FEBRUARY 24: A general view of a near empty Independence Square on February 24, 2022 in Kyiv, Ukraine. Overnight, Russia began a large-scale attack on Ukraine, with explosions reported in multiple cities and far outside the restive eastern regions held by Russian-backed rebels. (Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images)
Air-raid sirens and explosions were heard across Kyiv on Thursday morning. (Getty Images)

He added: "The point is, is that Vladimir Putin is sitting on a $600bn reserve war chest - he’s got no shortage of customers for his gas in China and elsewhere in Asia... he would have priced in ratcheting up of sanctions, and obviously doesn’t care."

Putin has made a string of unsubstantiated claims that his decision to invade Ukraine is in response to threats from the country to Russia, which Ukraine have flatly denied.

It comes after weeks of attempts at diplomacy from the West, and warnings from the US and Nato allies that a full-scale invasion with imminent.

In a last-ditch plea in the early hours of Thursday morning before the invasion began, the Ukrainian president renewed his calls for de-escalation - but also said Ukraine would fight to defend herself.

"We will defend ourselves," said Zelenskyy.

"When you attack, you will see our faces, not our backs."

Watch: Russia launches invasion of Ukraine after Putin orders 'specialised military operation'