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Josep Borrell: can EU’s new diplomat- in-chief strengthen bloc’s global standing?

<span>Photograph: David Fernandez/EPA</span>
Photograph: David Fernandez/EPA

It has been called Europe’s “valley of tears”. But it isn’t in National Geographic; rather it is the monthly pilgrimage of the European Union’s 28 foreign ministers to Brussels or Luxembourg to discuss the woes of the world.

And the man who coined the phrase, Josep Borrell, a socialist veteran of Spanish politics, was not paying a compliment. He described the EU foreign affairs council as “more a valley of tears than a centre of decision-making” because “it’s where all the open sores of humanity come. They tell us their sufferings, we express our condolences and concern … but no capacity for action comes out of it and we just move on to the next one.”

On Monday, this political survivor will walk into that valley for the first time since becoming the EU’s diplomat-in-chief, a role previously held by Italy’s Federica Mogherini and Britain’s Cathy Ashton.

China
China is Europe’s “systemic rival”, the EU executive stated earlier this year in a paper seen as a turning point in the bloc’s approach to the authoritarian superpower. Diplomats say the EU is less naive about China, and wiser to unfair competition via state subsidies or intellectual property theft. The EU is also facing calls to resume human rights sanctions on China, as further details emerge about China’s vast prison network in Xinjiang.


The US
Donald Trump has been pulling at the threads of the multilateral order since coming to power in 2016: abandoning the Paris agreement on the climate emergency, threatening European carmakers with tariffs and tearing up the hard-won Iran nuclear deal. For Brussels, the damage to the Iran deal has been a vivid illustration of how Trump undermines EU sovereignty. The EU sought to keep the deal alive by setting up a barter mechanism designed to allow Iran to continue selling oil and import other goods in exchange. While more countries have joined the Instex barter group, European companies have so far not used it, fearing US retaliation.

Brexit
For many in Brussels, Paris and Berlin, the British decision to quit the European Union is Trump’s older twin. If Brexit happens on 31 January, the two sides will have to reconstruct a foreign policy relationship. In theory that’s easier than trade, with both sides stressing they want close ties on foreign and security policy. But despite being one of Europe’s biggest military powers, the UK could be blocked from taking part in EU military projects. France wants restrictions on non-EU companies, a move that would deter UK government involvement.

Africa
Ursula von der Leyen chose to make her first official trip a visit to Addis Ababa to meet African Union leaders this weekend. The choice was no accident. She described her trip “a political statement” with the two sides working “in the spirit of a true partnership as equals”. Diplomats say this trip goes far beyond migration, an increasingly dominant issue, as Brussels seeks to deter would-be migrants from coming to Europe and return those with no right to stay.

Syria
Syria has been wrecked by eight years of war: more than half the population have been forced to flee their homes, while an estimated 11.7 million people need humanitarian aid. The EU is the country’s largest aid donor, but has struggled to exert influence to end the war. Now the power balance has shifted back to Russian-backed Bashar al-Assad, leaving the EU with a dilemma: whether to help fund reconstruction to ease suffering and help refugees return, but risk empowering Assad’s regime. The International Crisis Group, which pinpointed the problem in a recent report, called on the EU to help fund basic public services.

Borrell, the son of a baker from the Catalan Pyrenees, has acquired a reputation for being plain-spoken – or undiplomatic, depending on your point of view. In one of his first interviews as Spain’s foreign minister last year, he lamented Europe’s “ostrich politics” when it came to migration and demographics.

Three months later, Borrell revealed that Donald Trump had suggested to him that Spain should tackle the migration crisis by building a wall across the Sahara – apparently unaware that such a wall would have to be 3,000 miles long. In May this year, he accused the US of acting “like the cowboys” over the turmoil in Venezuela. A few months previously, he had apologised for downplaying the extermination of native Americans by claiming that the US had little in the way of history apart from “killing four Indians”.

Presumed to be in his last job, Borrell has one big task: to strengthen the EU’s role in the world. Or as per the instructions of his boss, the European commission president, Ursula von der Leyen: “The European Union needs to be more strategic, more assertive and more united in its approach to external relations.”

Von der Leyen, who also took office this month, has declared she wants to lead “a geopolitical commission”, suggesting the EU should have the foreign policy clout to match its status as the world’s biggest trading bloc. EU insiders worry about threats to European sovereignty, the risk of being a pawn on the global chessboard, swept aside by a capricious US president or an authoritarian China.

Borrell (right) with the European commission president, Ursula von der Leyen, at the new commission’s first meeting last week
Borrell (right) with the European commission president, Ursula von der Leyen, at the new commission’s first meeting last week. Photograph: Stéphanie Lecocq/EPA

“The EU has yet to fulfil its potential as a global actor,” states a paper from nine EU member states, including France, Germany, the Netherlands and Spain, who warn that the “tectonic plates underpinning the international rules-based order are shifting”. These countries would like EU foreign policy to be characterised by faster decisions and more robust discussions.

Ursula von der Leyen, born in 1958, is the daughter of Heidi and Ernst Albrecht, the latter having been a senior politician in the centre-right Christian Democratic Union who rose to be governor of the state of Lower Saxony.

She spent the first 12 years of her life in Brussels, where her father was serving as a commission official. She studied economics at the universities of Göttingen and Münster before attending the London School of Economics where she used the pseudonym Rose Ladson because she was seen as a potential target for West German leftwing extremists.

Von der Leyen then read for a medical degree, becoming a gynaecologist, and only entered politics at 42. A mother of seven, she has held government positions as labour and family affairs minister, driving forward key policies on gender quotas for company boards and improved maternity and paternity pay and rights – policies that initially won her considerable popularity.

In 2011, Von der Leyen spoke of her desire for a “United States of Europe along the lines of federal states like Switzerland, Germany or the US”. She has since claimed that Brexit, and the loss of the “pragmatism” of the British in the EU, should propel the bloc towards further integration, and has voiced support for a European army.

She is a key ally of Angela Merkel, with whom she has worked since 2005. Like Merkel, she has championed the idea of a close relationship between the EU and UK after Brexit.

Von der Leyen, though, has been withering about those who campaigned for Brexit, Describing events since the referendum as a “burst bubble of hollow promises … inflated by populists”. She has cautioned that a no-deal Brexit would be the “worst possible start” to the close long-term EU-UK relationship that Berlin holds desirable.

The nicknames she has acquired over the course of her 29-year career in German politics tell their own story. During her time in charge of the family ministry, she was first called Krippen-Ursel (“crèche Ursel”), a conservative closet feminist set on expanding nursery places, and then Zensursula, a control freak who wanted to shield German youth from the dark sides of the internet.

When she became Germany’s first female defence minister in 2013, her (mostly male) detractors referred to her as Flinten-Uschi (“shotgun Uschi”), a caricature of the bossy career woman.

As commission president, Von der Leyen will represent the EU on the world stage, and a key task will be building a working relationship with Donald Trump’s White House. She has previously criticised a lack of strategy in Trump’s approach to Vladimir Putin’s Russia and has suggested the US president’s frosty relationship with Merkel is based on his outdated view of women.

Daniel Boffey in Brussels and Philip Oltermann in Berlin

Easier said than done, especially when domestic weakness of some EU leaders combines with different world views of member states on issues such as the transatlantic relationship, Turkey or the Middle East.

“The council is in a really low moment,” said José Ignacio Torreblanca, the head of the Madrid office at the European Council on Foreign Relations. “Not only in its institutional shortcomings, but the political configuration of the leadership, the appetite for doing things. It is not really a place where a lot of things happen in terms of decision making.”

The problem, said Torreblanca, is that Germany is “divided” and “paralysed” at home, while the French president, Emmanuel Macron, tables proposals without discussing them with Berlin. “The Franco-German relationship is quite broken when it comes to foreign policy.” Meanwhile, “Britain is lost”, while countries like Hungary increasingly seek “to block everything – they just don’t want the body to work”.

Torreblanca, who conducted the “valley of tears” interview, concludes that Borrell’s frustrations were shaped by his experience with Venezuela, when the EU was split over whether to support opposition leader Juan Guaidó, who sought to topple Nicolás Maduro from power. As Spain’s foreign minister, Borrell helped craft the EU line on Venezuela, but failed to persuade Italy, Greece and others to support Guaidó, blunting the EU message. In the ECFR interview, Borrell said the EU was caught “sleeping on the job” on Venezuela after “interminable discussions about minor bureaucratic matters”.

The EU has also struggled to maintain a united position on the Middle East. Hungary recently blocked an attempt by the EU to criticise Trump’s decision that Israeli settlements in occupied Palestinian territory should no longer be seen as illegal. The 28 countries issued a less punchy statement that EU policy was “unchanged”, calling on Israel to end all settlement activity.

Borrell talks to Venezuelan migrants during a visit to the Simon Bolivar international bridge at the border of Colombia and Venezuela
Borrell talks to Venezuelan migrants during a visit to the Simon Bolivar international bridge at the border of Colombia and Venezuela in October. Photograph: Schneyder Mendoza/AFP via Getty Images

Counterintuitively, some EU diplomats think risking more arguments could help forge unity. Borrell’s predecessor, Mogherini, has faced criticism for steering clear of some tricky issues, such as EU-Russia relations. “What she wanted was to avoid conflict, and I think it was a mistake,” one EU diplomat said.

Borrell, aged 72, is not expected to be hopping on planes as often as Mogherini, so could play a stronger role in corralling common decisions. EU diplomats are hopeful that he might delegate EU foreign policy topics to a country or group of countries, an approach that has been used in a sporadic way, such dealing with Venezuela.

Nathalie Tocci, a former adviser to Mogherini, thinks EU foreign policy is stronger than it appears. “Just remember Iraq 2003, when the split was so debilitating that it completely paralysed the union,” she said. “Now we actually have positions on Russia and China. Obviously there are nuances … but it is not simply a lowest common denominator.”

Tocci, the director of Italy’s Institute for International Affairs, cautions that a single European foreign policy may not be realistic or desirable. She would prefer Borrell to be like an orchestra conductor, seeking complex harmonies, rather than a one-note song. “The different instruments are playing different tunes, but ultimately what comes out of it is something that sounds quite nice and not a complete cacophony.”

“If that’s the goal, yes, it is achievable.”

Additional reporting by Sam Jones in Madrid