Labour most popular party among voters under 40, general election poll reveals

Adam Boult
Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn after delivering a stump speech at the Central Community Centre in Swindon, during Labour's election campaign - PA

Polling data ahead of the general election on June 8 indicate that the Conservatives are likely to win, and win big: some polls have the Tories at almost double the vote share of Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party.

However, amid the forecasts, there is one glimmer of light for Corbyn: among voters under the age of 40, Labour is the most popular party.

Among 18-24 year-olds Labour is 19 points ahead, according to figures from YouGov. In contrast, among the over-65s the Conservatives are ahead by a huge 49 points.

Age is the new dividing line in British politics

Among women under the age of 40, 42 per cent said they would vote Labour, while 27 per cent said Conversative, and 12 per cent favoured the Liberaol Democrats.

Among men under 40 Labour's lead is far narrower, with 32 per cent favouring Labour, 31 per cent Conservative and 18 per cent Lib Dem.

The current tipping point – the age where voters are more likely to favour the Conservatives over Labour – is 34

YouGov

YouGov polled 12,746 adults between the 2nd and 20th of April. The results were weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who said they would not vote or didn't know who they'd vote for.

YouGov said: "Our analysis suggest that the current tipping point – which is to say the age where voters are more likely to favour the Conservatives over Labour – is 34. In fact, for every 10 years older a voter is, their chance of voting Tory increases by around 8 per cent and the chance of them voting Labour decreases by 6 per cent."

As the Telegraph's Ashley Kirk and Patrick Scott have pointed out, older people are far more likely to turn out and vote than younger people. Previous elections have shown that Corbyn will struggle to turn his popularity among younger voters into seats in Parliament.

 

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