The NFL Draft provides a game within a game as teams attempt to conceal their thoughts on who they will pick.
Rumours and speculation spread like wild fire as the hours count down.
Trades are being prepared as teams plot a move up the board to secure their first choices.
Here is a preview of where the value is in the markets ahead of the first round.
Who Will Be Taken With The 1st Pick?
While there is often much conjecture at the top of the board, heading into the 2019 NFL Draft, the clear consensus pick is Oklahoma quarterback Kyler Murray. Bookmakers across the board have Murray as the short priced favourite to be taken first by the Arizona Cardinals come Thursday evening with average odds at 1.16 on offer, meaning bookmakers have Murray an 86% chance to be taken by the Cardinals.
Could any player steal the limelight? Bookmakers have Ohio State Defensive End Nick Bosa as the player most likely to be taken ahead of Murray at number one. Bookmakers have Bosa at odds of 5.0 to be claimed first by the Cardinals with Alabama Defensive Tackle Quinnen Williams an outside chance at average odds of 13.0 to leap both Murray and Bosa.
If history has shown us anything it’s that there are few surprises at the top of the draft board. However, while Murray may be the clear favourite to be taken at number one by the Cardinals, Arizona’s interest in the Oklahoma QB is contingent on them moving their 2018 10th overall selection, former UCLA Quarterback Josh Rosen. Speculation is rife that the Cardinals will indeed trade Rosen, likely to the Giants, leaving Arizona to draft Murray at one. It’s also possible, however unlikely, that the Cardinals will trade out of the first pick.
If not Arizona, where could Murray land? Unibet has the Oakland Raiders at odds of 6.0 (16% chance) to claim the Oklahoma QB with the fourth pick should the Cardinals look elsewhere or the Raiders find a way to trade up to the first pick.
Bookmakers such as bet365 and Unibet are offering a number of Over/Under markets. What is the consensus best bets for Over/Under positional betting? Let’s take a look at the consensus best bets based on NFL.com, NBC, CBS, Yahoo and Sporting News Mock Drafts.
Offensive Players Taken In The 1st Round?
Bet365 is offering a market on the number of offensive players to be taken in the first round, with Over 15.5 offensive players listed at odds of 2.10 and the Under at 1.66. The consensus average is just under 15 offensive players to be taken in the 1st Round. Given the odds available, the Over 15.5 looks the better bet.
Bet: Over 15.5 Offensive Players
Quarterbacks Taken In The 1st Round?
Bet365 are also offering a market on the number of QBs taken in the opening round with Over 3.5 listed at the short odds of 1.44 and Under 3.5 at 2.62. Each of the five media outlets in our consensus have four QBs taken in the opening round. While this seems the likely outcome, given the odds available, a small wager on Under 3.5 is the best option.
Bet: Under 3.5 Quarterbacks
Wide Receivers Taken In The 1st Round?
The Over/Under on Wide Receivers to be taken in the opening round is set at 2.5, with the consensus average at just over 2 WRs. Given the less than compelling talent at WR in this year’s draft, it is possible that those expected to go late in the 1st round may slip into early 2nd round selections. At odds of 1.83, taking the Under 2.5 Wide Receivers to be taken in the opening round is the best option.
Bet: Under 2.5 Wide Receivers
Player Draft Position Props
Bet365 is also offering a great list of individual player Over/Under props. Of these the two best bets appear to be Nick Bosa to be drafted with either the 1st or 2nd pick at odds of 1.36 while Dwayne Haskins to be drafted with the 11th pick or later at odds of 2.00 is another decent option.
Bet: Nick Bosa Draft Position Under 2.5
Bet: Dwayne Haskins Draft Position Over 10.5
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