Ontario sending $200 rebates to 15 million people amid early-election speculation

Ontario Premier Doug Ford's government will table its fall economic statement on Wednesday. (Evan Mitsui/CBC - image credit)
Ontario Premier Doug Ford's government will table its fall economic statement on Wednesday. (Evan Mitsui/CBC - image credit)

The Ontario government says it will send a $200 rebate cheque to roughly 15 million people in the province.

The announcement Tuesday comes as Premier Doug Ford has hinted he could call an early election in 2025.

Ford and Finance Minister Peter Bethlenfalvy provided details about the rebates at a news conference in Scarborough, one day before the government tables its fall economic statement — a fiscal blueprint that anticipates the spring budget process.

The pair said the rebates are necessary because many Ontarians are struggling with the high cost of living.

"We've been hearing from people all across the province that they are feeling the pinch," Bethlenfalvy said.

The cheques will go to every taxpayer, as well as $200 for each child in an eligible family.

The rebates will not be means-tested and are expected to be mailed out early in the new year, according to the finance ministry.

They will cost the provincial treasury about $3 billion. Ford said that money will come from increased provincial sales tax revenue due to higher inflation over the last few years, as well as revenue generated by the recent federal changes to the capital gains tax.

Speaking to reporters, Ford downplayed any connection between the possibility of an early election and the decision to provide the tax-free rebates.

"These are tax dollars going back to taxpayers who are struggling right now," he said, repeatedly pointing to the federal carbon tax as the cause for increases in the price of groceries, gasoline and other goods.

"That is money that families can use to pay off their credit card after the holidays, to buy a winter coat for their kids or to cover the cost of gassing up the family car to make up for the costs of the Liberal carbon tax," Ford said.

The controversial federal carbon tax is a frequent target for Ford and his ministers, who have repeatedly called for Ottawa to get rid of the levy. A 2023 analysis found a clear majority of Canadian households receive associated rebates that are larger than the carbon taxes they pay, and that scrapping the rebates would have a disproportionate negative impact on lower-income families.

The carbon tax came into effect at $20 per tonne in 2019. It has steadily climbed in the years since. It is scheduled to go up another $15 each year until 2030, when it reaches $170 a tonne. It currently adds another 17.6 cents per litre to the price of gasoline after the most recent increase on April 1.

In addition to Ontario, the carbon tax also applies to households in Newfoundland and Labrador, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Alberta, Yukon and Nunavut.

Ninety per cent of the government revenues are returned to households in those provinces through a quarterly rebate program, with households receiving a quarterly payment based on family size. The other 10 per cent is to help grant recipients, such as businesses and schools, reduce their fossil fuel consumption.

On Sunday, the Ford government announced it would extend a 5.7-cent cut to the provincial gas tax through to next summer, keeping the levy at nine cents per litre until June.

The province first temporarily slashed the gasoline and diesel tax rates in July 2022 but have repeatedly extended the cuts since. Ford estimates the succession of moves will help the average Ontario household save $380 over the three years since the cuts were first introduced.