Operation Yellowhammer document: Why has the no deal impact file been released and what does it reveal?

Sean Morrison
AFP/Getty Images

A secret Whitehall dossier which outlines the disruption the UK could face in the event of a no-deal Brexit has been released by the Government.

The Operation Yellowhammer file outlines the "reasonable worst case planning assumptions" in the event of the UK crashing out of the EU without an agreement.

It comes after MPs on Monday voted for a motion to order the publication of the document despite warnings that it should be kept secret.

Below is a guide to the Operation Yellowhammer file including what it contains and how MPs reacted...

The PM was forced to allow the publication of the documents after MPs passed a motion for their release in Commons (AFP/Getty Images)

What is Yellowhammer?

Yellowhammer is a codename used by the Government relating to no-deal planning.

The Sunday Times reported in August that Yellowhammer documents outlined scenarios including that Britain would be hit with a three-month "meltdown" at its ports if it leaves without a deal.

The newspaper warned of a hard Irish border and shortages of food and medicine, and a senior Whitehall source told the paper: "This is not Project Fear - this is the most realistic assessment of what the public face with no deal. These are likely, basic, reasonable scenarios - not the worst case."

What does the document say?

The six-page dossier - comprising 20 "key planning assumptions" - reveals that a no-deal Brexit could trigger major hold-ups at channel ports, electricity price increases, shortages of some foods and delays to medicine imports.

HGV delays of between one-and-a-half and two-and-a-half days would occur at Dover and public disorder could increase, the document warns.

It adds: "Protests and counter-protests will take place across the UK and may absorb significant amounts of police resource.

"There may also be a rise in public disorder and community tensions."

The Government describes the scenario outlined in the document, part of which has been redacted, as the "reasonable worst case scenario". The document's assumptions are "as of August 2" this year.


Tom Tugendhat MP Yellowhammer reaction

How did the Government react to the dossier being made public?

The Government sought to play down the documents, with Business Minister Kwasi Kwarteng dismissing them as "scaremongering", while Michael Gove - the Cabinet minister responsible for no-deal planning - insisted Yellowhammer represented a "worst-case scenario".

A Number 10 source said the document was from when ministers were "blocking what needed to be done to get ready to leave and the funds were not available", adding: "It has been deliberately leaked by a former minister in an attempt to influence discussions with EU leaders."

The source said those "obstructing preparation" are no longer in Government, with £2 billion of extra funding already made available, adding: "Whitehall has been stood up to actually do the work through the daily ministerial meetings. The entire posture of Government has changed."

How did the opposition react?

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Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn said the document shows the Prime Minister "is prepared to punish those who can least afford it with a no-Deal Brexit to benefit his wealthy friends" and "must be stopped".

Shadow Brexit secretary Sir Keir Starmer said it is "completely irresponsible for the Government to have tried to ignore these stark warnings and prevent the public from seeing the evidence".

Former education minister Sam Gyimah - one of 21 Tory rebels who had the whip withdrawn - said the scenario outlined in the document is "a sober assessment of what could happen".

Green MP Caroline Lucas tweeted: "It simply beggars belief that any government could be willing to contemplate a future that will cause so much pain and disruption - much less rush towards it. Is this what Boris Johnson meant by 'do or die'? £Yellowhammer."

Why did the Government publish the file?

MPs demanded the Government publish communications connected to no-deal Brexit planning.

Former attorney general Dominic Grieve's demand for all written and electronic contact about Operation Yellowhammer (and the temporary suspension of Parliament) since July 23 to be released was approved by 311 votes to 302 on Monday September 9.

He used the parliamentary device of a humble address to the Queen to ask for the documents to be put before the Commons by ministers by no later than 11pm on Wednesday September 11. The Government published the Yellowhammer documents on Wednesday evening.

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