Russia 'considering major withdrawal' after Moscow commander's rare admission of army struggles

Ukrainian servicemen fire towards Russian troops on self-propelled AHS Gvozdika howitzer as Russia's attack in Ukraine continues, in Kharkiv region, Ukraine October 17, 2022. REUTERS/Viacheslav Ratynskyi
Ukrainian servicemen fire a howitzer cannon at Russian troops as they make gains in Kharkiv region. (Reuters)

Russian forces in Ukraine could be planning a "major withdrawal" from Kherson after the recently appointed commander of the invasion admitted troops faced a "difficult situation" in the region.

An operational commander sharing such a negative outlook of the so-called "special military operation" is "highly unusual", according to an update on Thursday by the UK's Ministry of Defence (MoD).

"It likely indicates that the Russian authorities are seriously considering a major withdrawal of their forces from the area west of the Dnipro river," the MoD said.

In his first televised interview since his appointment earlier this month, General Sergei Surovikin said the situation on the ground was "tense", as the Ukrainian military "continually attempts to attack" occupied positions.

He told Russian state TV on Tuesday that Moscow's forces will "above all, ensure the safe evacuation of the population" in the southern city of Kherson – signalling the likelihood of more bitter fighting hitting the streets.

KHERSON, UKRAINE - OCTOBER 07: A view of the village, located in the border of the Kherson region where the control was again taken by the Ukrainian forces, as Ukrainian soldiers patrol around the site amid Ukraine's counterattack against Russian forces in the southern Kherson region, heavy clashes continue between the two sides in Kherson city, located in Kherson Oblast, Ukraine on October 07, 2022. Ukrainian forces retook 29 settlements in Kherson on an area of 400 square kilometers (about 155 square miles) on Oct. 1-6 as the counter offensive launched on Aug. 29 continues, according to information provided by officials. (Photo by Metin Aktas/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)
Ukrainian soldiers have been inflicting heavy losses on Russian forces in the region. (Getty Images)
KHARKIV, UKRAINE - OCTOBER 19: Builders work to demolish the remains of a house destroyed by a Russian missile, on October 19, 2022 in Kharkiv, Ukraine. Russia's president Vladimir Putin today imposed martial law on the four Ukrainian regions occupied by Russian forces as large numbers of civilians were being moved out of the Kherson area ahead of a Ukrainian offensive. (Photo by Carl Court/Getty Images)
Builders in Kharkiv work to demolish the remains of a house destroyed by a Russian missile. (Getty Images)
British intelligence say such an admission from a Russian commander is
British intelligence say such an admission from a Russian commander is "highly unusual". (Twitter/MoD)

The MoD says a key challenge faced by Vladimir Putin's forces would be extracting its troops and equipment across the 1,000-mile Dnipro river in good order given that all the permanent bridges in the area are severely damaged.

For this reason, Russia would have to rely on a temporary barge bridge it constructed near Kherson in recent days, and military pontoon ferry units, in order to escape the region.

Read more: Putin declares martial law in occupied Ukraine

Kherson is the only regional capital Putin's forces have managed to capture since their invasion of Ukraine eight months ago.

It is strategically important however, as it controls the mouth of the Dnipro and the land route to the Crimea peninsula, which Russia seized and annexed in 2014.

While Ukraine has remained tight lipped about its operations in the region, it appears to have tightened the noose around its enemy in the region, carrying out relentless attacks and inflicting heavy losses.

DUBOVE, UKRAINE - OCTOBER 19: Boys hold toy rifles as they pause while playing by the roadside on October 19, 2022 in Dubove, Kharkiv oblast, Ukraine. Russia's president Vladimir Putin today imposed martial law on the four Ukrainian regions occupied by Russian forces as large numbers of civilians were being moved out of the Kherson area ahead of a Ukrainian offensive. (Photo by Carl Court/Getty Images)
Boys play with toy rifles in Dubove, in the Kharkiv region, where Vladimir Putin declared martial law on Wednesday. (Getty Images)
In this picture taken on November 3, 2021 Sergei Surovikin, commander of Russia's Aerospace Forces, attends a meeting of Russian President with top military officials in Sochi. (Photo by Mikhail METZEL / SPUTNIK / AFP) (Photo by MIKHAIL METZEL/SPUTNIK/AFP via Getty Images)
Sergei Surovikin's rare admission that troops are struggling suggest Russia could be planning a major withdrawl. (Getty Images)
DUBOVE, UKRAINE - OCTOBER 19: A boy holds a sign reading
A boy in Dubove holds a sign reading "coffee and tea for the Ukrainian armed forces" as he stands by the roadside. (Getty Images)

Russian state TV has further prepared viewers for the possibility of Russian withdrawal, broadcasting an interview with war correspondent and Kremlin mouthpiece Alexander Kots, who warned Russian soldiers are outnumbered four to one in some areas.

Kots said: "The civilian population is being relocated out of the city to minimise the casualties among civilians.

"Right now, it's important for us to endure. I don't want to give anyone any illusions, but we'll have to persevere, gritting our teeth, through November and I'm afraid part of December."

Footage of people fleeing by boat across the Dnipro river were broadcast by Russian state television, which portrayed the exodus as an attempt to evacuate civilians before it became a combat zone.

Read more: Russian efforts to destroy Ukraine's electricity network 'hampered by lack of weapons'

About 50,000 to 60,000 people would be moved out in the next six days, said Vladimir Saldo, the Russian-installed chief of Kherson.

Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy was due to address an EU summit on Thursday, in which the 27 member states will discuss options for more support to Ukraine.

It follows a barrage of Russian attacks on Ukraine's power plants right before winter sets in.

Support packages could include energy equipment, helping restore power supply and long-term financing to rebuild.