It’s a bad sign ahead of Boris Johnson’s announcement on Monday over whether England’s lockdown will end as planned on 21 June.
The scientist also said delaying the end of England’s lockdown would make a difference in efforts to deal with the Delta variant.
One of the UK’s eminent COVID scientists has said the nation has now seen the back of the second wave after deaths fell below the five-year average for the first time in six months.
Lockdown scientist Ferguson has said the prime minister – and other European leaders – didn’t “earn that 'acting earlier saves lives'.
Professor Neil Ferguson said the new tier lockdown system was unlikely to cause cases and deaths to fall quickly.
The scientist stepped down from his role on Sage but a minister twice accused of breaching lockdown rules remains in his job.