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Tuesday morning news briefing: Jeremy Corbyn could win election without gaining a seat

All cameras on Corbyn: Entrepreneurs vow to leave the UK if he wins - Jay Williams
All cameras on Corbyn: Entrepreneurs vow to leave the UK if he wins - Jay Williams

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Tactical voting in 12 constituencies could oust Johnson

Jeremy Corbyn is "much closer" to becoming prime minister than voters think. A Conservative party memo has warned the Labour leader could get into Downing Street without winning a single extra seat. It says the chances of a Corbyn-led coalition have been "seriously underestimated", predicting that gains of just 12 seats by the SNP, Liberal Democrats and other minor parties would be enough to remove Boris Johnson from No 10. Political Editor Gordon Rayner has details of the internal Tory polling on the chances of a hung parliament. With 48 hours until polling booths open, hundreds of the UK's wealthiest entrepreneurs are threatening to leave the country if Mr Corbyn wins the election. These are the marginal seats that could decide the outcome. And use our interactive tactical voting tool for a personal recommendation.

The Prime Minister's day in Leave-supporting constituencies was dominated by a row over a picture of a boy being treated on a hospital floor. What was meant to be a media-friendly tour of northern Labour seats descended into confusion and acrimony. Deputy Political Editor Anna Mikhailova explains how Mr Johnson's charm offensive took a chaotic turn. And Matt finds humour in voter fatigue in today's cartoon.

Criminal investigation opened into NZ volcano tragedy

New Zealand police have announced a criminal investigation after the volcanic eruption that is believed to have killed 13 people. Two British women remain in hospital and families of other UK tourists are searching for information about their loved ones feared to have been caught up in the disaster. Questions have emerged over why tour groups were allowed into the volcano zone despite scientists' warnings of increased activity. Our picture gallery tracks the moment the volcano on White Island spewed a large plume of ash and steam 12,000ft into the air.

Rail passengers offered 'premium economy' fares

Three classes of travel will be introduced on Britain's railways for the first time in 60 years. Previously, the choice has been between plush seats and a hot meal in first class - or a squeeze in standard class. But new trains will feature a "middle-class" tier with snacks, more legroom and faster Wi-Fi. Helena Horton explains how Avanti West Coast, which replaced Virgin Trains on the West Coast Main Line on Sunday, is developing a premium economy-style offering similar to that on airlines.

News digest

Gallery: The big picture

Lead the way, Rudolph | Street artist Banksy has created a festive-themed piece highlighting homelessness. Browse through our picture editor's choice of more striking images from around the world.

The artwork features in a film of a man being 'pulled' by two reindeer painted on a wall - Credit: Banksy/Instagram
The artwork features in a film of a man being 'pulled' by two reindeer painted on a wall Credit: Banksy/Instagram

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Editor's choice

  1. A class act | Circus founder Nell Gifford brought out the inner child in us all

  2. 'Tis the season to be... passive aggressive | How I learnt to deal with the 'angry smile'

  3. For sale | Pictured: No-extravagance-spared homes on priciest streets in the world

Business and money briefing

Tullow boss ousted | Shares in Tullow Oil crashed by more than 71pc to a 20-year low - wiping £1.4 billion off the value of the company - after it slashed production forecasts, ousted its boss and axed its dividend. Analysts blamed a "culture of fear" within the Africa-focused business.

Sport briefing

West Ham United 1 Arsenal 3 | Three goals in nine electric minutes secured Arsenal's first win in a wretched run of nine games without a victory. But, reporting from the London Stadium, Jason Burt writes that Freddie Ljungberg's team still looked hopeless for large stretches.

And finally...

A gift in itself | It is often said that nothing matters more than the thought behind choosing a present. Now many children are spending their time glued to so-called "unboxing" videos of gifts being opened online - and psychologists believe the trend could be good for them. Jack Hardy explains the viral phenomenon.

The election explained: Watch Yahoo's simple guide