General Election 2024: Hunt, Shapps and the other Tory ministers at risk of losing their seats, according to YouGov poll

Sky News

Updated 3 June 2024 at 5:31 pm·2-min read

Twelve of the 26 members of the cabinet who are running for re-election are at risk of losing their seats, according to a YouGov poll commissioned by Sky News.

The survey suggests the United Kingdom is on the cusp of a major redrawing of the political landscape, with Labour on course to win a historic landslide and an enormous 194-seat majority.

But delving deeper into the numbers, it appears several high profile Conservative MPs will lose their seats, if the election does indeed end up being the worst Tory rout since 1906.

They could all follow in the footsteps of Michael Portillo, the Tory minister who was famously unseated as Tony Blair swept to power in 1997.

Election latest: Minister hangs up on Sky's Sam Coates

"These are some of the biggest names in our politics," deputy political editor Sam Coates said as he presented the findings on Sky News.

"Every single one of these, right now, is projected on course to lose at the general election."

He added: "Tory MPs are getting more and more nervous by the day."

👉 Tap here to follow Politics at Jack at Sam's wherever you get your podcasts 👈

If the poll reflects reality in July, the 12 names Sam described as being in "deep, deep trouble" are:

Jeremy Hunt, the chancellor, set to lose Godalming and Ash seat to the Liberal Democrats by 15 points

Grant Shapps, the defence secretary, set to lose Welwyn Hatfield to Labour by 18 points

Penny Mordaunt, the Commons leader, would lose Portsmouth North to Labour by five points

Mark Harper, transport secretary, would lose Forest of Dean to Labour by four points

Alex Chalk, the justice secretary, set to lose Cheltenham by 31 points

Mel Stride, work and pensions secretary, set to lose Central Devon to Labour by one point

Jonny Mercer, defence minister, set to lose Plymouth Moor View to Labour by 11 points

Esther McVey, minister without portfolio, would lose Tatton Labour by one point

Gillian Keegan, education secretary, would lose Chichester to the Lib Dems by five points

Simon Hart, chief whip, would lose Caerfyrddin to Labour by nine points

David T C Davies, the Welsh secretary, would lose Monmouthshire to Labour by 11 points

Victoria Prentis, the attorney general, may lose Banbury to Labour by six points

The Telegraph
Parish council quits over backlash after claims man’s voluntary clear-up was ‘criminal damage’
An entire parish council has resigned after a man was reported to the police for criminal damage for clearing a roadside pavement of weeds, stinging nettles and brambles.
The Telegraph
Brace yourself for Keir Starmer’s puritan war on life’s pleasures
This is how the Conservative world ends, not with a bang but a flutter. The Tories in office were gamblers, shaggers, nutters and clowns, but at least they were funny – and their wrist too limp to grasp power entirely. Now the cavaliers are leaving the stage; here come the roundheads. Brace yourselves for a war on joy.
Business Insider
Russian saboteurs burned down a Berlin factory to hit weapons supplies to Ukraine. Just one problem — the facility made car parts.
Diehl Metal's parent company makes the IRIS-T anti-air system given to Ukraine, but the factory hit makes parts for cars and electrical systems.
HuffPost
Eric Trump's 'Unvarnished' Claim About Dad Gets Brutal Instant Fact Check
Critics slammed the son of the former president for a wild new claim about his father.
The Telegraph
The media has led the country into an anti-Tory fervour
When Sir Keir Starmer walked onto the stage for last Thursday’s edition of Question Time, he was audibly booed.
Business Insider
Village on Ukraine's doorstep set to become NATO's biggest European air base as Putin vows to go 'until the end' in the war
The base is about 12 miles from the Black Sea coast and 180 miles from Odesa in southern Ukraine.
The Daily Beast
Trump Made ‘Nazi Ovens’ Joke Around Jewish Execs: Ex-Trump Org VP
Donald Trump has claimed he’s better for Jewish Americans than Democrats, but according to a former senior Trump Organization executive, the former president reveled in making Nazi jokes around his Jewish employees.Former Trump Organization executive vice president Barbara Res told MSNBC’s Ali Velshi that Trump once made a joke about a German residential manager the company had hired before turning to some Trump Organization executives who happened to be Jewish. “He was bragging amongst executiv
The Telegraph
Brexit is working for Britain
Eight years ago today, the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union. The British people collectively decided that it was time to reclaim our islands’ sovereignty. It was the right decision then – and it remains the right decision now.
The Telegraph
Why it’s too late to stop World War 3
Imagine, for a moment, that the Iranian government announces it has developed a nuclear bomb and threatens to use it on Israel. The United States reacts with the threat of military intervention, as it did in 1991 and 2003 in Iraq. Iran signals that it will not tolerate a third Gulf war and looks for allies. American forces mass to enter Iran, which orders national mobilisation. Russia, China and North Korea express their support for Iran, and Washington expands its intervention force, bringing i
The Guardian
The Kremlin’s Noose by Amy Knight review – vital primer on Putin’s Russia and Boris Berezovsky’s death
The American historian and expert on Russia has written a definitive study of the flamboyant life and mysterious death of the oligarch, a confidant of Yeltsin and a man to whom Putin was once indebted
HuffPost
'Truly Shocking': Prankster Reveals Trump Rally Moment That 'Knocked Me Over'
Jason Selvig of The Good Liars said he had never seen this before at one of the former president's rallies.
The Telegraph
‘I wished my mother a speedy execution, I didn’t want her to be tortured’
Mona Mahmoudi’s parents were among the first members of Iran’s Baha’i religious minority to be executed under the Islamic Republic’s decades-long crackdown.
The Telegraph
It’s time to undo the damage Macron did to post-Brexit Britain
The red carpet was rolled out for financiers with lavish dinners laid on at Versailles. Paris claimed to have the world’s biggest hub for “le start-ups”. And the French stock market overtook London to become the largest in Europe.
The Telegraph
Crimean sunbathers struck by deadly shrapnel shower from Ukrainian missile
Shrapnel from an intercepted US-made missile fired by Ukraine hit a beach packed with sunbathing tourists in occupied Crimea on Sunday.
The Telegraph
Starmer could bring back benefits Britain
“Working people want success more than state support” is a phrase that could have been uttered by any Conservative Party leader since Ted Heath. That Keir Starmer said it last weekend suggests one of two things. Either he is truly going to address the question of growing dependency on the state, or that he is making a cynical appeal to wavering Tory voters.
Sky News
Former Tory defence secretary joins Johnny Mercer's attack on Labour candidate's military service claims
Conservative former defence secretary Ben Wallace has joined veterans minister Johnny Mercer's attacks on his Labour electoral rival. Mr Mercer, who is standing as the Tory candidate for the Plymouth Moor View constituency, had claimed his Labour opponent Fred Thomas was "bloating" his military service.
The Telegraph
Sacked police chief who lied about Navy career reported by ex-wife
The wife of a chief constable who was sacked for lying about his military service has revealed that she reported him after feeling “sickened” at the disrespect he had shown genuine veterans.
The Telegraph
We’re being lied to about the ‘benefits’ of the Single Market
The UK establishment is attracted to the EU single market like a mouse to a mousetrap. They will never understand how damaging it has been. They fail to grasp that it is not so much a market as a way of grabbing power and exercising control. Labour’s belief that if they align us more closely with the EU we will grow faster is the opposite of what will happen. The EU is a low growth zone. EU per capita GDP is now just half that of the US. They watch the US grow much faster while killing too much
The Telegraph
MoD releases video to dispel ‘myth that Nato provoked Putin’
The Ministry of Defence has released a video dispelling the “myth” that “Nato is aggressive and the enemy of Russia” after comments by Nigel Farage.
Business Insider
Ukraine needs to stop fighting the war Russia wants
Ukraine is trapped in a conflict that plays to Russia's strengths and must devise a new strategy with its Western allies, a Ukrainian expert argues.

Princess Royal is in hospital after sustaining 'minor injuries and concussion'

General Election 2024: Hunt, Shapps and the other Tory ministers at risk of losing their seats, according to YouGov poll

Latest stories

Parish council quits over backlash after claims man’s voluntary clear-up was ‘criminal damage’

Brace yourself for Keir Starmer’s puritan war on life’s pleasures

Russian saboteurs burned down a Berlin factory to hit weapons supplies to Ukraine. Just one problem — the facility made car parts.

Eric Trump's 'Unvarnished' Claim About Dad Gets Brutal Instant Fact Check

The media has led the country into an anti-Tory fervour

Village on Ukraine's doorstep set to become NATO's biggest European air base as Putin vows to go 'until the end' in the war

Trump Made ‘Nazi Ovens’ Joke Around Jewish Execs: Ex-Trump Org VP

Brexit is working for Britain

Why it’s too late to stop World War 3

The Kremlin’s Noose by Amy Knight review – vital primer on Putin’s Russia and Boris Berezovsky’s death

'Truly Shocking': Prankster Reveals Trump Rally Moment That 'Knocked Me Over'

‘I wished my mother a speedy execution, I didn’t want her to be tortured’

It’s time to undo the damage Macron did to post-Brexit Britain

Crimean sunbathers struck by deadly shrapnel shower from Ukrainian missile

Starmer could bring back benefits Britain

Former Tory defence secretary joins Johnny Mercer's attack on Labour candidate's military service claims

Sacked police chief who lied about Navy career reported by ex-wife

We’re being lied to about the ‘benefits’ of the Single Market

MoD releases video to dispel ‘myth that Nato provoked Putin’

Ukraine needs to stop fighting the war Russia wants