2024 Emmy Predictions: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

We will update this article throughout the season, along with all our predictions, so make sure to keep checking IndieWire for the latest news from the 2024 Emmys race. The nomination round of voting takes place from June 13 to June 24, with the official Emmy nominations announced Wednesday, July 17. Afterwards, final voting commences on August 15 and ends the night of August 26. The 76th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards are set to take place on Sunday, September 15, and air live on ABC at 8:00 p.m. ET/ 5:00 p.m. PT.

Click on for more of our previous thoughts on what to expect at the 76th Primetime Emmy Awards.

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The State of the Race

Much has been written here and elsewhere about “Shōgun” entering, and taking over the Drama Series Emmy races, but if there is a category that remains unbothered, it’s Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series.

For her turn as Princess Diana during the last years of her life “The Crown” star Elizabeth Debicki dominated the winter awards season, even winning the SAG Award for Female Actor in a Drama Series over “Succession” star Sarah Snook, who had just recently won the Lead Actress Emmy.

The aforementioned FX series set in Sengoku era Japan does have some category contenders in Moeka Hoshi and Fumi Nikaido, but in all honesty other Drama Series contenders do a better job of spotlighting supporting players.

One of the examples of that is “The Morning Show,” which actually has more viable  Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series contenders than listed below, It really does tee up a Karen Pittman or Nicole Beharie to get at least one scene that would serve as an impressive clip proving why they’re nominated in the category at the prospective Emmys. Co-star Greta Lee stands out too as someone who was just in heavy contention for the Oscars.

And yet, outside of Pittman, the Supporting Actress contenders for “The Morning Show” are all late stage additions that would require voters to have caught up on more than one episode of the Apple TV+ series.

HBO prestige period drama “The Gilded Age” is in a similar boat, trying to get on voters’ radar in the major categories in its second season. While that show has far fewer Emmy nominations than “The Morning Show” has already had, its main contenders in this category—Christine Baranski and Cynthis Nixon—has won Emmys before, making them actresses voters always have to at least consider before deciding who will be nominated.

Predicted Nominees:
Christine Baranski, “The Gilded Age” (HBO)
Nicole Beharie, “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
Elizabeth Debicki, “The Crown” (Netflix)
Moeka Hoshi, “Shōgun” (FX)
Greta Lee, “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
Fumi Nikaido, “Shōgun” (FX)
Karen Pittman, “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

Contenders:
Lesley Manville, “The Crown” (Netflix)
Audra McDonald, “The Gilded Age” (HBO)
Cynthia Nixon, “The Gilded Age” (HBO)

Also Consider This:
Imogen Poots, “Outer Range” (Prime Video)
Adina Porter, “The Changeling” (Apple TV+)
Maisie Williams, “The New Look” (Apple TV+)

More Drama Category Predictions:
Outstanding Drama Series
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

View IndieWire’s full set of predictions for the 76th Emmy Awards.

Last Year’s Winner: Jennifer Coolidge, “The White Lotus: Sicily”
Still Eligible: No.
Hot Streak: The possibility that sticks out first and foremost is HBO winning Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series, likely for one of the stars of “The Gilded Age.” More likely though, after her SAG Award win, would be Elizabeth Debicki being the second star of “The Crown” to win the category, making it one of only a handful of shows in Emmys history to boast multiple winners.
Notable Ineligible Series: Jennifer Coolidge, Aubrey Plaza, Meghann Fahy, Sabrina Impacciatore, and Simona Tabasco, “The White Lotus: Sicily” (ended); Rhea Seehorn, “Better Call Saul” (ended); J. Smith-Cameron, “Succession” (ended)

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