2024 Emmys Supporting Actress Drama Predictions

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

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2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

Weekly Commentary (Updated: April 25, 2024): With her captivating portrayal of Princess Diana in the sixth and final season of Netflix’s “The Crown,” Australian actress Elizabeth Debicki has earned universal acclaim and a trifecta of major televised awards, including Golden Globes, Critics Choice, and Screen Actors Guild honors. As the awards season shifts towards the Emmys, Debicki’s undefeated streak positions her as an undisputed frontrunner, potentially poised to claim her first Emmy trophy amid widespread industry admiration.

Debicki faces competition from her co-star Lesley Manville, who delivered a compelling performance as Princess Margaret, and Christine Baranski, the formidable matriarch in HBO/Max’s “The Gilded Age.” Nonetheless, Debicki is leading the pack. Her acclaimed work in “The Crown” not only captivated audiences, amid a mixed reaction for the final season, but it also earned her first Emmy nom for the series’ fifth season last year. Despite losing to Jennifer Coolidge’s scene-stealing role in “The White Lotus,” Debicki’s rising star may be too bright to ignore.

The race is intensified by a potential robust lineup from Apple’s “The Morning Show,” featuring Greta Lee, Nicole Beharie, Julianna Margulies, Holland Taylor, and Karen Pittman—all of whom have significant fan bases. The crowded field increases the likelihood of vote-splitting, potentially benefiting other potential nominees and contenders.

As the first phase of Emmy campaigning kicks off, attention is focused on “The Crown” and “The Morning Show” potentially dominating the field. Yet, there’s room for surprises. “The Gilded Age” has more potential nominees such as Cynthia Nixon and Audra McDonald, and industry buzz suggests that Leslie Uggams, fresh off her acclaimed role in the Oscar-winning “American Fiction,” could gain traction for Prime Video’s “Fallout.” Additionally, former Emmy darlings like Archie Panjabi from Apple’s “Hijacks” and standouts from Netflix’s “3 Body Problem,” such as Rosalind Chao and Eiza González, might also make an unexpected splash.

Other genre shows could also attract attention, including young standout Celia Rose Gooding as Nyota Uhura in Paramount’s “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” and Sophia Di Martino, who, along with her co-star Tom Hiddleston, could become favorites for their roles in Disney/Marvel’s superhero series “Loki.”

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Next in Line

Also in Contention

Eligible Performances (Supporting Drama Actress)

**The list below is not complete and have been confirmed as officially submitted. All information is subject to change. Grouped by network that airs each series.

• Christina Chang — “The Good Doctor” (ABC)

• Fiona Gubelmann — “The Good Doctor” (ABC)

• Jessica Matten — “Dark Winds” (AMC)

• Jeri Ryan — “Dark Winds” (AMC)

• Paula Malcomson — “Parish” (AMC)

• Clémence Poésy — “The Walking Dead: Daryl Dixon” (AMC)

• Pollyanna Mcintosh — “The Walking Dead: The Ones Who Live” (AMC)

• Christina Hendricks — “The Buccaneers” (Apple TV+)

• Aubri Ibrag — “The Buccaneers” (Apple TV+)

• Josie Totah — “The Buccaneers” (Apple TV+)

• Adina Porter — “The Changeling” (Apple TV+)

• Amirah Vann — “The Changeling” (Apple TV+)

• Archie Panjabi — “Hijack” (Apple TV+)

• Jodi Balfour — “For All Mankind” (Apple TV+)

• Nicole Beharie — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

• Greta Lee — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

• Julianna Margulies — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

• Karen Pittman — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

• Holland Taylor — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

• Emily Mortimer — “The New Look” (Apple TV+)

• Maisie Williams — “The New Look” (Apple TV+)

• Kiersey Clemons — “Monarch: Legacy of Monsters” (Apple TV+)

• Mari Yamamoto — “Monarch: Legacy of Monsters” (Apple TV+)

• Rashida Jones — “Silo” (Apple TV+)

• Harriet Walter — “Silo” (Apple TV+)

• Rosalind Eleazar — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)

• Saskia Reeves — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)

• Kristen Scott Thomas — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)

• Anna Gunn — “Sugar” (Apple TV+)

• Amy Ryan — “Sugar” (Apple TV+)

• Bridget Moynahan — “Blue Bloods” (CBS)

• Marg Helgenberger — “CSI: Vegas” (CBS)

• Carra Patterson — “Elsbeth” (CBS)

• Alexa Davalos — “FBI: Most Wanted” (CBS)

• Stephanie Arcila — “Fire Country” (CBS)

• Diane Farr — “Fire Country” (CBS)

• Jules Latimer — “Fire Country” (CBS)

• Yasmine Al-Bustami — “NCIS: Hawai’i” (CBS)

• Tori Anderson — “NCIS: Hawai’i” (CBS)

• Natasha Liu Bordizzo — “Ahsoka” (Disney+)

• Mary Elizabeth Winstead — “Ahsoka” (Disney+)

• Sophia Di Martino — “Loki” (Disney+)

• Gugu Mbatha-Raw — “Loki” (Disney+)

• Wunmi Mosaku — “Loki” (Disney+)

• Adelaide Clemens — “Justified: City Primeval” (FX)

• Gail Bean — “Snowfall” (FX)

• Christine Baranski — “The Gilded Age” (Max)

• Celia Keenan-Bolger — “The Gilded Age” (Max)

• Audra McDonald — “The Gilded Age” (Max)

• Cynthia Nixon — “The Gilded Age” (Max)

• Kelli O’Hara — “The Gilded Age” (Max)

• Natasha Behnam — “The Girls on the Bus” (Max)

• Christina Elmore — “The Girls on the Bus” (Max)

• Carla Gugino — “The Girls on the Bus” (Max)

• Molly Burnett — “Law & Order: Special Victims Unit” (NBC)

• Rosalind Chao — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix)

• Eiza González — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix)

• Kiawentiio — “Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)

• Elizabeth Debicki — “The Crown” (Netflix)

• Lesley Manville — “The Crown” (Netflix)

• Olivia Williams — “The Crown” (Netflix)

• Emily Rudd — “One Piece” (Netflix)

• Nicole Kidman — “Special Ops: Lioness” (Paramount+)

• Mary Wiseman — “Star Trek: Discovery” (Paramount+)

• Christina Chong — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)

• Celia Rose Gooding — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)

• Sarita Choudhury — “Fallout” (Prime Video)

• Leslie Uggams — “Fallout” (Prime Video)

• Rachel Blanchard — “The Summer I Turned Pretty” (Prime Video)

• Jackie Chung — “The Summer I Turned Pretty” (Prime Video)

• Sophie Okonedo — “The Wheel of Time” (Prime Video)

• Birgundi Baker — “The Chi” (Showtime)

• Nizhonniya Luxi Austin — “The Curse” (Showtime)

• Hikmah Warsame — “The Curse” (Showtime)

• Philippa Dunne — “The Woman in the Wall” (Showtime)

• Sophie Skelton — “Outlander” (Starz)

• Jennifer Tilly — “Chucky” (Syfy)

More Information (Supporting Drama Actress)

2023 category winner: Jennifer Coolidge — “The White Lotus” (Max) — Season 2

2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)

• Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024

• Feb. 29: Submissions open

• May 9: Deadline for programs that identify as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.

• June 13: Nominations-round voting begins

• June 24: Nominations-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PT

• June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten rounds panels (if applicable)

• July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.

• July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions to the nominations.

• August 5: Find-round videos available for viewing.

• August 15: Final-round voting begins.

• August 26: Final-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PST.

• Sept. 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala

• Sunday, Sept. 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards to air on ABC.

Emmy Awards Predictions

Other Awards Predictions

About the Primetime Emmy Awards

The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship, and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy, which hosts the Emmys, consists of over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.

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