2025 Oscars Predictions in Every Category

Oscar Predictions 2025: Saoirse Ronan, Denzel Washington and Demi Moore Among Hopefuls Who Could Garner Attention
Oscar Predictions 2025: Saoirse Ronan, Denzel Washington and Demi Moore Among Hopefuls Who Could Garner Attention

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

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Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

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Commentary (Updated July 12, 2024): The first half of the year and the Cannes Film Festival has come and gone. We now look to the future, where the fall festivals will surely drop an avalanche of awards hopefuls into the mix.

Warner Bros. brings a formidable sequel trio to the table: Denis Villeneuve’s much-anticipated “Dune Part Two,” Todd Phillips’ upcoming jukebox musical “Joker: Folie à Deux,” and Tim Burton’s “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice.” The latter could surprise many, from early murmurs suggesting “it’s an awards movie.” It could earn Michael Keaton a spot in the acting categories, a decade after his huge loss for “Birdman.”

There will be more to come.

The 97th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 2.

All movie listings, titles, and distributors are not final and are subject to change.

*** = PREDICTED WINNER

Best Picture

Best Picture
Best Picture


Anora” (Neon)
Sean Baker, Alex Coco, Samantha Quan
Blitz” (Apple Original Films) ***
Steve McQueen, Arnon Milchan, Yariv Milchan, Eric Fellner, Tim Bevan, Michael Schaefer 
Conclave” (Focus Features)  
Alice Dawson, Robert Harris, Juliette Howell, Michael Jackman, Tessa Ross 
Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) 
Cale Boyter, Tanya Lapointe, Mary Parent, Denis Villeneuve 
Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Jacques Audiard, Pascal Caucheteux, Valérie Schermann, Anthony Vacarello
Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Lucy Fisher, David Franzoni, Michael Pruss, Ridley Scott, Douglas Wick
Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM Studios/Orion) 
Joslyn Barnes, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, David Levine 
The Piano Lesson” (Netflix) 
Todd Black, Denzel Washington 
The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Agustín Almodóvar
The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation) 
Jeff Hermann

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

Director

Director
Director


Pedro Almodóvar
“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics) 
Sean Baker
“Anora” (Neon)
Steve McQueen
“Blitz” (Apple Original Films) 
RaMell Ross
“Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion)
Ridley Scott ***
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

Actor

Actor
Actor


Colman Domingo
“Sing Sing” (A24) 
Ralph Fiennes
“Conclave” (Focus Features) 
Joaquin Phoenix
“Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.)
Denzel Washington ***
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
John David Washington
“The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

Actress

Actress
Actress


Karla Sofía Gascón
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Demi Moore
“The Substance” (Mubi) 
Julianne Moore
“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Saoirse Ronan ***
“The Outrun” (Sony Pictures Classics) 
Zendaya
“Challengers” (Amazon MGM Studios)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

Supporting Actor

Supporting Actor
Supporting Actor


Kieran Culkin
“A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures)
Samuel L. Jackson ***
“The Piano Lesson” (Netflix) 
Clarence Maclin
“Sing Sing” (A24)
Pedro Pascal
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Stanley Tucci
“Conclave” (Focus Features)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

Supporting Actress

Supporting Actress
Supporting Actress


Danielle Deadwyler
“The Piano Lesson” (Netflix) 
Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor ***
“Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM Studios/Orion)
Saoirse Ronan
“Blitz” (Apple Original Films) 
Isabella Rossellini
“Conclave” (Focus Features) 
Tilda Swinton
“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

Original Screenplay

Original Screenplay
Original Screenplay


Anora” (Neon)
Sean Baker
Blitz” (Apple Original Films) ***
Steve McQueen 
His Three Daughters” (Netflix)
Azazel Jacobs
A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures)
Jesse Eisenberg 
The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics) 
Pedro Almodóvar

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

Adapted Screenplay

Adapted Screenplay
Adapted Screenplay


Conclave” (Focus Features)
Peter Straughan 
Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
David Scarpa
Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM Studios/Orion) ***
RaMell Ross, Joslyn Barnes 
The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
Virgil Williams, Malcolm Washington 
The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
Chris Sanders

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

Animated Feature

Animated Feature
Animated Feature


Inside Out 2” (Pixar) 
Kelsey Mann, Mark Nielsen
Memoir of a Snail” (IFC Films)
Adam Elliot, Liz Kearney
Piece by Piece” (Focus Features)
Morgan Neville, Caitrin Rogers, Mimi Valdes, Pharrell Williams
Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl” (Netflix)
Merlin Crossingham, Nick Park, Richard Beek, Claire Jennings
The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation) ***
Chris Sanders, Jeff Hermann

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

Production Design

Production Design
Production Design


Blitz” (Apple Original Films) ***
Adam Stockhausen, Anna Pinnock 
Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
Patrice Vermette, Zsuzsanna Sipos 
Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Arthur Max, Elli Griff 
Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.)
Mark Friedberg, Karen O’Hara
Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
Craig Lathrop

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

Cinematography

Cinematography
Cinematography


Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
Yorick Le Saux 
Conclave” (Focus Features)
Stéphane Fontaine
Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) ***
Greig Fraser
Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
John Mathieson
Maria” (No U.S. Distribution)
Edward Lachmann

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

Costume Design

Costume Design
Costume Design


Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” (Warner Bros.)
Colleen Atwood 
Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
Jacqueline Durran 
Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) ***
Jacqueline West 
Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Janty Yates
Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Paul Tazewell

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

Film Editing

Film Editing
Film Editing


Blitz” (Apple Original Films) ***
Peter Sciberras 
Conclave” (Focus Features)
Nick Emerson 
Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Juliette Welfling
Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Sam Restivo, Claire Simpson
Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion)
Nicholas Monsour

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

Makeup and Hairstyling

Makeup and Hairstyling
Makeup and Hairstyling


Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” (Warner Bros.) 
Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) ***
Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.) 
The Substance” (Mubi)
Wicked” (Universal Pictures)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

Sound

Sound
Sound


Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) ***
Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.) 
The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

Visual Effects

Visual Effects
Visual Effects


Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios) 
Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) 
Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) ***
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” (20th Century Studios) 
Mufasa: The Lion King” (Walt Disney Pictures)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

Original Score

Original Score
Original Score


Conclave” (Focus Features)
Volker Bertelmann
Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Harry Gregson-Williams
Kinds of Kindness” (Searchlight Pictures)
Thomas Newman 
The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation) ***
Kris Bowers 
Young Woman and the Sea” (Walt Disney Pictures)
Amelia Warner

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

Original Song

Original Song
Original Song


“Mi Camino” from “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“TBA song” from “Mufasa: The Lion King” (Walt Disney Pictures) 
“TBA song” from “Piece by Piece” (Focus Features)
“TBA song” from “Six Triple Eight” (Netflix) ***
“TBA song” from “The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

Documentary Feature

Documentary Feature
Documentary Feature


Daughters” (Netflix)
dir. Angela Patton, Natalie Rae 
Piece by Piece” (Focus Features)
dir. Morgan Neville 
Sugarcane” (National Geographic Documentary Films)
dir. Julian Brave NoiseCat, Emily Kassie 
Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story”  (Warner Bros.) ***
dirs. Ian Bonhôte, Peter Ettedgui 
Will & Harper” (Netflix)
dir. Josh Greenbaum

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

International Feature

International Feature
International Feature


All We Imagine is LIght” (India)
dir. Payal Kapadia
Emilia Pérez” (France)
dir. Jacques Audiard
Kneecap” (Ireland)
dir. Rich Peppiatt
Pedro Páramo” (Mexico)
dir. Rodrigo Prieto ***
Reinas” (Peru)
dir. Klaudia Reynicke-Candeloro

Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

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