General Election 2024: Exit poll predicts Labour win in Lincoln but Tory holds in Sleaford and Boston

During the previous General Election the Conservative Party had a clean sweep of seats across Lincolnshire, but following public scrutiny and doubt in the party's leaders, it is expected more of the public would have cast their vote for Labour or Reform UK. The exit poll forecast for Lincoln Borough predicts a 99 per cent likelihood that Labour will take the city's seat.

This prediction would see a strong win for Labour candidate Hamish Falconer. However, despite this prediction other candidates are still hopeful.

Lincoln’s Liberal Democrat candidate Clare Smalley said she is “quite optimistic” ahead of the result. She stated: “Hopefully, people will have looked at our policies and seen that we have something different to offer.” Meanwhile, the exit poll predicts that it will be "too close to call" in the Boston and Skegness constituency.

The forecast states that there is a possible Conservative hold of 48 per cent, but also a possible Reform UK gain of 45 per cent. This constituency is usually considered a safe seat for the Conservative party, and if they win here it would see Matt Warman return as MP for the area for a third time.

There is also forecast to be a strong Conservative hold of 84 per cent in the Sleaford and North Hykeham constituency. The exit poll has predicted a possible Labour gain of 12 per cent and a Reform UK gain of four per cent, but ultimately it appears that the Conservatives will take hold of this seat again.