General Election: Labour set to lose Bristol Central seat to Green Party, latest YouGov poll suggests

Green Party candidate Carla Denyer launches campaign for the new Bristol Central parliamentary constituency
-Credit: (Image: Green Party)

Bristol is set to lose a Labour seat to the Green Party in the upcoming general election, the latest YouGov poll suggest. 47,751 adults were polled in Great Britain between June 19 and July 2 before revealing these shocking results ahead of the historic election.

Bristol Central - the new name for the slightly smaller and more concentrated former Bristol West constituency - has two front-runners - Labour MP Thangam Debbonaire and the Green Party candidate Carla Denyer. However, given the poll results, it seems Denyer is the frontrunner of the two.

Brighton Pavilion was the only seat won by the Greens in the 2019 election, and the party’s vote share has remained largely unchanged at 55 per cent. But now, In Bristol Central, the Greens are projected to win 52 per cent of the vote.

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In both constituencies, Labour trails in a distant second place with a projected 27 per cent and 34 per cent vote share. The Green Party has seen a surge of success following the local elections, where the number of Green councillors was boosted to 812.

Co-leader Adrian Ramsay said: "After so much damage by the outgoing Conservative government, we need more than a few tweaks from a new Labour government." Speaking to the BBC in May Carla Denyer said the voters in Bristol had chosen pluralism.

She said: "The Greens campaigned for a switch from the mayoral system to a committee because we believe no one party has a monopoly on good ideas, and we want to work cross-party The Labour Party still have a reasonable amount of councillors on Bristol City Council, they still have support, and we will be very much prepared to work with them on areas where we agree."

Elsewhere, YouGov revealed the Conservative party is set to be relegated to third place across the South West with both Labour and the Liberal Democrats poised for substantial gains. Labour is on course to take 24 seats, closely followed by the Liberal Democrats on 23.

Seats by party according to YouGov:

  • Labour: 24

  • Liberal Democrat: 23

  • Conservative: 10

  • Green: 1

Notable seats:

  • Cheltenham: Alex Chalke set to lose to the Liberal Democrats

  • Central Devon: Work and Pensions Secretary Mel Stride set to lose a close contest to Labour

  • Bristol Central: Labour’s Thangham Debbonaire set to be beaten by the Greens

  • North East Somerset and Hanham: Jacob Rees-Mogg, former Leader of the House of Commons, likely to lose to Labour