Yahoo News Latest General Election odds predict Labour landslide with key Teesside seats included
Bookies are backing a Labour landslide across the Tees Valley – with a pair of ‘red wall’ seats tipped to turn red.
Nationally, polls are predicting a huge Labour majority on July 4 – with one poll published on Wednesday warning that the Conservatives are on course for just 53 seats. That poll, by Savanta, also hinted that PM Rishi Sunak could become the first ever sitting PM to lose his seat.
And on Teesside, one major bookmaker believes the picture is just as gloomy for the Conservatives. Two key ‘red wall’ seats seized by the Conservatives during Boris Johnson’s tenure – Redcar and Hartlepool – are now odds-on to be won by Labour’s candidates.
Both seats were heavily prized by the Conservatives and heralded as shining examples of Labour’s decline in their heartlands. In Redcar, Conservative candidate Jacob Young’s victory in 2019 was historic; It was the largest ever Labour majority overturned by a Tory, and the victory was particularly sweet given the seat had only once briefly left Labour’s grip.
In Hartlepool, Jill Mortimer broke Labour’s 57-year Parliamentary reign in the town when she won a 2021 by-election with a near-7,000 majority. Yet the bookies believe both are on their way out.
In Redcar, Labour candidate Anna Turley – who lost the seat back in 2019 – is 1/10 to reclaim it. And 26 miles away in Hartlepool, Labour candidate Jonathan Brash – a teacher – is just 1/9 with SkyBet.
For those who don’t gamble, the odds don’t favour punters. If you staked a tenner on Labour to win both seats at those odds, you’d make a profit of £2.22. Alternatively, a tenner on both Conservative candidates to retain will currently net you just short of £500.
And for those who love a longshot, the Green Party are 200/1 in both seats. A tenner on a double upset will secure you £404,000 – almost as much as what a backbench MP will earn during a single term in Westminster.
(Odds correct as of 11.59pm on June 19)
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