Final Oscar Predictions: International Feature – United Kingdom to Win Its First Statuette With ‘The Zone of Interest’

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

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OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

2024 Oscars Predictions:
Best International Feature

Weekly Commentary (Updated March 7, 2024): The United Kingdom is poised to win its first Academy Award with Jonathan Glazer’s “The Zone of Interest” and what a deserved win it will be.

But while I have the floor: it’s time for the Academy to change its rules regarding who receives nominations and awards for internetional feature.

As it stands, the “country” is awarded the Oscar, even though the director’s name is on the statuette. So despite Jonathan Glazer’s film is nearly assured a win, he will not be able to carry the moniker “Academy Award winner.” The same way it doesn’t follow Asghar Farhadi, who’s won the category twice for “A Separation” and “The Salesman.”

Will Win: “The Zone of Interest” (United Kingdom)
Could Win: “Perfect Days” (Japan)
Should Win: “The Zone of Interest”
Should have been here: “Do Not Expect Too Much from the End of the World” (Romania) and “The Taste of Things” (France)

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Oscars predictions in all categories.

The 96th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 10.

And the Nominees Are:

1. “The Zone of Interest” (United Kingdom) — dir. Jonathan Glazer

2. “Perfect Days” (Japan) — dir. Wim Wenders

3. “Io capitano” (Italy) — dir. Matteo Garrone

4. “Society of the Snow” (Spain) — dir. J.A. Bayona

5. “The Teachers’ Lounge” (Germany) — dir. İlker Çatak

All Official Submissions (Alphabetized by Country)**

Albania, “Alexander”
Argentina, “The Delinquents”
Armenia, “Amerikatsi”
Australia, “Shayda”
Austria, “Vera”
Bangladesh, “No Ground beneath the Feet”
Belgium, “Omen”
Bhutan, “The Monk and the Gun”
Bolivia, “The Visitor”
Bosnia and Herzegovina, “Excursion”
Brazil, “Pictures of Ghosts”
Bulgaria, “Blaga’s Lessons”
Burkina Faso, “Sira”
Cameroon, “Half Heaven”
Canada, “Rojek”
Chile, “The Settlers”
China, “The Wandering Earth II”
Colombia, “Un Varón”
Costa Rica, “I Have Electric Dreams”
Croatia, “Traces”
Czech Republic, “Brothers”
Denmark, “The Promised Land”
Dominican Republic, “Cuarencena”
Egypt, “Voy! Voy! Voy!”
Estonia, “Smoke Sauna Sisterhood”
Finland, “Fallen Leaves”
France, “The Taste of Things”
Georgia, “Citizen Saint”
Germany, “The Teachers’ Lounge”
Greece, “Behind the Haystacks”
Hungary, “Four Souls of Coyote”
Iceland, “Godland”
India, “2018 – Everyone Is a Hero”
Indonesia, “Autobiography”
Iran, “The Night Guardian”
Iraq, “Hanging Gardens”
Ireland, “In the Shadow of Beirut”
Israel, “Seven Blessings”
Italy, “Io Capitano”
Japan, “Perfect Days”
Jordan, “Inshallah A Boy”
Kenya, “Mvera”
Latvia, “My Freedom”
Lithuania, “Slow”
Luxembourg, “The Last Ashes”
Malaysia, “Tiger Stripes”
Mexico, “Totem”
Moldova, “Thunders”
Mongolia, “City of Wind”
Montenegro, “Sirin”
Morocco, “The Mother of All Lies”
Namibia, “Under the Hanging Tree”
Nepal, “Halkara”
Netherlands, “Sweet Dreams”
Nigeria, “Mami Wata”
North Macedonia, “Housekeeping for Beginners”
Norway, “Songs of Earth”
Pakistan, “In Flames”
Palestine, “Bye Bye Tiberias”
Panama, “Tito, Margot and Me”
Paraguay, “The Last Runway 2, Comando Yaguarete”
Peru, “The Erection of Toribio Bardelli”
Philippines, “The Missing”
Poland, “The Peasants”
Portugal, “Bad Living”
Romania, “Do Not Expect Too Much from the End of the World”
Saudi Arabia, “Alhamour H.A.”
Senegal, “Banel & Adama”
Serbia, “The Duke and the Poet”
Singapore, “The Breaking Ice”
Slovakia, “Photophobia”
Slovenia, “Riders”
South Africa, “Music Is My Life – Dr. Joseph Shabalala and Ladysmith Black Mambazo”
South Korea, “Concrete Utopia”
Spain, “Society of the Snow”
Sudan, “Goodbye Julia”
Sweden, “Opponent”
Switzerland, “Thunder”
Taiwan, “Marry My Dead Body”
Thailand, “Not Friends”
Tunisia, “Four Daughters”
Turkey, “About Dry Grasses”
Ukraine, “20 Days in Mariupol”
United Kingdom, “The Zone of Interest”
Uruguay, “Family Album”
Venezuela, “The Shadow of the Sun”
Vietnam, “Glorious Ashes”
Yemen, “The Burdened”

2022 category winner: “All Quiet on the Western Front” (Germany) — dir. Edward Berger

Oscars Predictions Categories

BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR | BEST ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT

About the Academy Awards

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

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