Red wall expected in Coventry and Warwickshire as Labour look set to take three seats from Conservatives

Labour could be on course to gain a number of seats in Warwickshire as well as defending three seats in Coventry, according to the latest polls. It means there could be a red wall in the Coventry and Warwickshire region with Conservatives reduced to just two seats in the region.

At the last General Election Labour held all three Coventry constituencies as well as one in Warwickshire - Warwick and Leamington.

But the YouGov MRP projection for the 2024 General Election - which shows similar results to the exit poll that predicts a huge Labour landslide - suggests that Labour could win three Warwickshire seats from the Conservatives.

Read more: General Election 2024 live: Results and reaction from Coventry, Warwickshire and across the UK

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These are Nuneaton, Bedworth and North Warwickshire and Rugby. The three Coventry seats - Coventry East, Coventry North West and Coventry South - are expected to be Labour holds along with Warwick and Leamington.

The Coventry seats are looking like large Labour majorities with more than 50% of the vote share in each constituency.

Meriden and Solihull East and Solihull West and Shirley are expected to be Conservative holds.

The full breakdown of predicted results in Coventry and Warwickshire seats is below.

Sir Keir Starmer has thanked those who voted for him and “put their trust in a changed Labour Party ” after the exit poll revealed he is on course for a landslide.

“To everyone who has campaigned for Labour in this election, to everyone who voted for us and put their trust in our changed Labour Party – thank you,” he posted to X, formerly Twitter.

Shortly before polls closed, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak said: “To the hundreds of Conservative candidates, thousands of volunteers and millions of voters: Thank you for your hard work, thank you for your support, and thank you for your vote.”

Full breakdown of YouGov MRP poll in local constituencies

*These are predicted results

Bedworth and North Warwickshire

Conservative: 36%

Labour: 40%

Lib Dem 4%

Green: 4%

Reform: 15%


Conservative 33%:

Labour: 43%

Lib Dem: 3%

Green: 7%

Reform: 13%

Coventry East

Conservative: 17%

Labour: 51%

Lib Dem: 6%

Green: 9%

Reform: 12%

Coventry North West

Conservative: 22%

Labour: 50%

Lib Dem 6%

Green: 8%

Reform: 12%

Coventry South

Conservative: 24%

Labour: 54%

Lib Dem: 5%

Green: 7%

Reform: 10%

Warwick and Leamington

Conservative: 23%

Labour: 54%

Lib Dem: 5%

Green: 10%

Reform: 8%


Conservative: 34%

Labour: 41%

Lib Dem: 5%

Green: 7%

Reform: 12%

Kenilworth and Southam

Conservative: 38%

Labour: 31%

Lib Dem: 15%

Green: 5%

Reform: 9%


Conservative: 37%

Labour: 18%

Lib Dem: 30%

Green: 4%

Reform: 9%

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