Supercomputer delivers stunning Man City title race stat after Liverpool and Arsenal setbacks

Jake Bayliss

15 April 2024 at 2:25 am·2-min read

Mateo Kovacic of Manchester City celebrates with teammates -Credit:Simon Stacpoole/Offside/Offside via Getty Images

A supercomputer has predicted Manchester City’s title hopes after a dramatic weekend in the Premier League - and the changes from a week ago represent a stunning shift.

City recorded an emphatic victory over a tough Luton Town on Saturday, earning a 5-1 win to move two points clear at the top of the league. That put the pressure on Liverpool and Arsenal, who played Crystal Palace and Aston Villa at home, respectively, and both teams suffered shock defeats on their own turf.

That gives City an unexpected advantage in the title race as Pep Guardiola’s side prepare for the season's final six games. It remains tight at the top, with the three sides separated by two points, but Opta’s supercomputer believes City could be on the verge of a historic league title win.

The twists and turns of the weekend have seen City’s chances jump up from 40.6 per cent to a remarkable 70.1 per cent. Theoretically, that puts City in prime position to record their fourth-consecutive top-flight title, a feat that has never been achieved in the history of English football. A positive 29.5 per cent swing can not only be credited to City’s win at the Etihad Stadium but their rivals' failure to show their title credentials at a vital point in the season.

Arsenal encountered a similar issue during last season’s run-in, winning only three of their last nine games, allowing City to leapfrog the Gunners. After their defeat to Villa on Sunday, the supercomputer believes that Arsenal’s chances of ending their 20-year title drought have fallen from 30.3 to 18.3 per cent over the weekend.

Meanwhile, Liverpool have endured a painful week. After crumbling to a 3-0 defeat against Atalanta in the Europa League, their Anfield woes continued against Palace. The supercomputer believes Liverpool’s chances have gone from 29.1 to 11.7 per cent, making them distinct outsiders to end Jurgen Klopp’s farewell season with the Premier League trophy, after losing a game where they were even heavier favourites than Arsenal.