Yahoo News Tories to win just 64 seats, latest poll predicts
The Conservatives will win just 64 seats at the general election, a new MRP poll has predicted.
The survey of 34,558 voters by Survation gave Labour a majority of 159, with Sir Keir Starmer’s party predicted to win 484 seats – more than Sir Tony Blair’s 418 in the 1997 landslide.
The Tories were forecast to only narrowly become Britain’s official opposition with 64 MPs – just three more than the Liberal Democrats on 61.
Survation also predicted that Reform UK MPs would be returned in just seven seats despite the party winning more votes nationwide than any other except Labour and the Conservatives.
Meanwhile, a poll from Redfield and Wilton Strategies gave Sir Keir Starmer’s party a 19-point lead over the Tories, down four from last week.
Support for Reform fell by two points to 16 per cent after racism scandals around some of the party’s candidates.
The findings came as the Conservatives ramped up warnings about what a Sir Keir Starmer “super-majority” would mean in a bid to minimise the size of Labour’s expected landslide victory.
The poll of 20,000 voters, conducted between June 28 and July 2, put Labour on 41 per cent, down one point from last week. The Tory share increased by three points, from 19 per cent to 22.
The findings suggest Rishi Sunak’s warnings about the risks of a Labour “super-majority” could be bearing fruit. He has urged voters to “never surrender” to Sir Keir’s policies on tax, immigration and benefits.
Reform, meanwhile, suffered its first decline in support since Nigel Farage took over as leader earlier this month.
The party has been accused by both Labour and the Conservatives of not doing enough to stamp out racism after at least a dozen candidates were found to have made offensive comments.
On Tuesday, Georgie David, the Reform candidate in West Ham and Beckton, east London, quit the party and endorsed the Conservatives, claiming that a “majority” of Reform candidates were “racist, misogynistic and bigoted”.
Last week, Channel 4 recorded Andrew Parker, a Reform activist, using a racial slur about Mr Sunak. Reform has claimed Mr Parker is an actor and the party had been set up.
It has submitted complaints against Channel 4 to the police and the elections watchdog. Channel 4 issued a statement in which it stood by its reporting and denied that Mr Parker was a paid actor.
