Emmy Predictions via Feinberg Forecast: Scott’s Final Picks Ahead of Wednesday’s Nominations
At 8:30 a.m. PST on Wednesday morning, the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences will reveal its nominees for the 76th Primetime Emmy Awards, which were chosen by its 22,000 voting members, hailing from 31 “peer groups,” during the nominations voting period that spanned June 13 through June 24. Below, you can find my final projections for what or who will be nominated in 33 of the highest-profile categories. The TV Academy will, in fact, announce nominees for 124 categories, more of which I will be adding to the forecast in the coming weeks.
Last year, the Emmy nominations leader among platforms was HBO/Max (with 127) and among programs was HBO/Max’s drama series Succession (with 27), in its final season of eligibility. This year, my guess is that Netflix, with its glut of highly consumed contenders across the categories — particularly its limited series Baby Reindeer and Ripley — is poised to reclaim the title of platform leader, which it secured for the first time in 2018 and again in 2020.
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But don’t underestimate FX, which will be propelled to a high tally by its rookie drama series Shōgun and the sophomore season of its comedy series The Bear, both of which will be among the most nominated programs; or HBO/Max, which should see a strong showing from its returning comedy series Hacks, drama series The Gilded Age and limited/anthology series True Detective, as well as its formidable slate of nonfiction and variety series, most notably Last Week Tonight With John Oliver.
Be sure to check back after the announcement for my in-depth analysis of the TV Academy’s picks!
Please note: Think of Scott like a meteorologist — his aim with the forecast is to correctly predict what will happen, not to advocate for what he thinks should happen. His picks are arrived at by sampling contenders, consulting voters, analyzing campaigns and studying the results of past Emmy seasons.
Exciting news: Check out our new-and-improved charts! You can click on category-headers to reshuffle the titles and discover which shows in each field have the highest or lowest Rotten Tomatoes scores, which platforms have the most contenders, and more. Also, you can bookmark this URL and return to it any time to see Scott’s latest picks.
Best Drama Series
Best Comedy Series
Best Limited or Anthology Series
Best TV Movie
Best Variety Talk Series
Best Scripted Variety Series
Best Variety Special (Pre-Recorded)
Best Variety Special (Live)
Best Documentary or Nonfiction Series
Best Documentary or Nonfiction Special
Best Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special
Exceptional Merit
Best Actor in a Drama Series
Best Actress in a Drama Series
Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
Best Guest Actor in a Drama Series
Best Guest Actress in a Drama Series
Best Actor in a Comedy Series
Best Actress in a Comedy Series
Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series
Best Guest Actor in a Comedy Series
Best Guest Actress in a Comedy Series
Best Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or a TV Movie
Best Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or a TV Movie
Best Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or a TV Movie
Best Supporting Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or a TV Movie
Best Structured Reality Program
Best Unstructured Reality Program
Best Reality Competition Program
Best Game Show
Best Animated Program
Archived Forecasts
July 11, 2024
June 19, 2024
June 12, 2024
May 22, 2024
April 30, 2024
April 22, 2024
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April 9, 2024
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