Premier League title race permutations for Man City and Arsenal on final day of season

Erling Haaland celebrates with Kevin De Bruyne, Rodri and Ruben Dias after his goal against Tottenham
Erling Haaland scored twice in Man City's vital win at Tottenham -Credit:Sebastian Frej/MB Media/Getty Images

Manchester City know that a win over West Ham at home on Sunday will secure them a record fourth Premier League title in a row.

Tuesday’s 2-0 win triumph at Tottenham, thanks to Erling Haaland’s second-half goals, means City lead the table by two points heading into the final day. City have not lost to West Ham in the League since September 2015, some 16 fixtures ago.

Equally, a draw for City and a defeat for Arsenal against Everton at the Emirates Stadium will still see them over the line. The Gunners last lost at home to the Toffees in 2021. The Blues needed to beat Tottenham - now out of the race for fourth place - to keep the title directly in their own hands.

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Goal difference will now only come into play if City draw with West Ham and Arsenal beat Everton. That would hand Arsenal the title given their superior goal difference, with the Gunners (+61) already ahead of City (+60).

Of course, if City lose to West Ham and Arsenal beat Everton, the Gunners would lift the title for the first time in 20 years. City's opponents West Ham sit ninth, unable to secure a European spot, while Everton are safe from relegation.

A draw for City versus Spurs would have seen Arsenal lead by a superior goal difference of two. It would have meant the Blues needing to win by three more goals than Arsenal or hoping the Gunners failed to beat Everton while they defeated the Hammers.

City’s win over Tottenham was their first away victory at Spurs in the Premier League since 2021 and stretches their unbeaten run to 34 matches. A 35th will see them over the line for the sixth time in seven seasons.

City will meanwhile assess the fitness of Ederson and Kevin de Bruyne after both went off with injuries during the second half.