SNP support at lowest level since 2014 independence referendum, poll suggests

Support for the SNP has fallen to its lowest level since the 2014 independence referendum, according to a new poll.

A survey of Westminster voting intentions by YouGov put Humza Yousaf's party on 31 per cent - its lowest level since June 2014.

It also had Labour ahead of the SNP on 33 per cent.

Analysis of the poll by Professor John Curtice showed such a result would leave Labour on 28 seats and the SNP on 18.

At the last general election, Labour won only 19 per cent of the vote in Scotland, with the nationalists taking 45 per cent.

Labour won only one seat while the SNP romped home with 48.

Curtice told the Record: "Nothing has changed. All the opinion polls at the moment tend to have Labour and the SNP around neck and neck."

He added: "All of this is on a knife edge."

The poll also had the Tories down to only 14 per cent, with the right-wing Reform party up to seven per cent.

But Curtice told The Times that the Conservatives would hold onto their six seats despite the swing.

The Lib Dems were on seven per cent and would win a seat, taking their overall number of Scottish MPs to five.

The Holyrood voting intention in the poll had the SNP on 34 per cent for the constituency vote, slightly ahead of Labour on 32 per cent.

On the list the parties were tied at 29 per cent.

Curtice said this would result in the parties being tied on 43 MSPs and would result in Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar becoming first minister.

The Tories were projected to pick up 22 MSPs, with the Lib Dems on 11 and the Greens on 10.

This would mean pro-independence parties would be in a minority.

YouGov spoke to 1,100 people in Scotland between March 25 and April 2.

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