There are three 'Brexit tribes' - and this is how they will vote

The Tories are sweeping up huge swathes of Leave AND Remain voters as the Brexit split shapes into three separate categories.

With the General Election looking likely to result in a huge majority for the Conservatives, new data has shown how they are the only party fishing in a large lake of people who voted to Leave in last year’s EU Referendum.

While the Lib Dems have focused hard on those who still want Britain in the European Union, it appears the strategy might not be the right one to bolster their chances of more seats.

A YouGov survey has now identified three Brexit groups – Hard Leavers, Hard Remainers and the new category of Re-Leavers.

This group of people are those who backed Remain in 2016 but have either changed their mind or simply want the Government to get on with the job of leaving now the vote has been held.

Some 45% of voters identified as Hard Leavers, while another 23% said they were Re-Leavers – boosting the pro-Brexit vote to 68%.

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This compares to just 22% of people who declare themselves Hard Remainers – a much smaller group that the Lib Dems have been courting, alongside smaller parties like the Greens.

However, with the Tories clearly declaring themselves as the party of Brexit, they are managing to now tap into that 68% of people – which goes some way in explaining their polling, that puts them around 20% ahead of Labour.

Almost half of those who backed Brexit last year but voted for a party other than the Tories in 2015 are now planning to support Theresa May in next month’s General Election, according to the data.

YouGov concluded that the Conservatives are now “fishing in a massive lake of voters with very little competition”.

The results prove particularly dire for Labour, who are now “scrapping” with other parties for the 22% vote.

An analysis of the results stated: “Many see Labour as having a somewhat opaque stance on Brexit, which no doubt has contributed to the party losing 3% of its support among Re-Leavers.

“This is turn has made it more reliant on making gains with Hard Remainers, where they are competing against the Liberal Democrats, Greens, SNP and Plaid Cymru.”

An ICM poll released today shows the Tories on 48%, with Labour on 28% and the Lib Dems on 10%.

Top pic: Rex