UK opinion polls and prediction: Election becomes 'too close to call' as Tory lead shrinks

Boris Johnson at his eve of election rally on Wednesday night: Getty Images
Boris Johnson at his eve of election rally on Wednesday night: Getty Images

The Conservative Party’s lead over Labour has shrunk to five points on the eve of the general election, a new poll shows.

The latest poll from ​Savanta Comres for the Daily Telegraph shows Labour support has crept up by three points to 36 per cent while support for the Tories remains unchanged at 41.

The pollster said the election had become “simply too close to call” and that a hung parliament was a “plausible” outcome.

It is the smallest Tory lead since mid-October.

It comes after the Prime Minister Boris Johnson said the election battle “could not be tighter” as the three main party leaders staged a frantic dash around marginal seats on the final day of campaigning.

Releasing the poll results, Savanta ComRes said: “We would say that these results indicate that this election is simply too close to call, with almost one in five who say they could possibly still change their mind and we could just as plausibly see a healthy Conservative majority as a hung parliament.”

The results follow a YouGov MRP poll that suggested the Tories would win 339 seats - a rise of 22 from 2017 - while the Labour Party will lose 31 and end up with a total of 231.

But the figure for Boris Johnson's party is a drop of 40 seats from a previous YouGov poll in November that predicted a 68-seat majority.

YouGov also said the surprise element of tactical voting and the tightening in the polls meant a hung parliament could not be ruled out.

The Savanta ComRes poll shows support for the Liberal Democrats stayed the same at 12 per cent, while support for the other parties combined dropped by three points to 11 per cent.

Mr Johnson was asked on Wednesday whether he was nervous about Thursday’s outcome. He responded: “We’re fighting for every vote."