New poll suggests Tories heading for election wipeout, with Labour winning 314 seat majority

Rishi Sunak and Boris Johnson are among Tories set to lose seats in the next general election, according to a new poll predicting a wipeout for the Conservatives.

If the vote was held tomorrow the Tories would keep just 69 MPs, with Labour winning a 314 seat majority, the survey from Savanta and Electoral Calculus has found.

The study shows the Conservative Party would lose most of their MPs in the north of England and all their MPs in London.

It adds the governing party would also concede many seats in the South West to Labour and the Liberal Democrats.

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The poll revealed the SNP would gain seven extra seats, meaning they would have 55 of Scotland’s 59 Westminster constituencies.

Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrats would increase their representation in parliament to its highest level since 2010, gaining Dominic Raab’s seat in the process.

Sunak has faced a difficult start to his premiership, having to deal with several issues including criticism over his cabinet selections, his handling of strike action and his immigration policy.

The prime minister’s favourability ratings deteriorated slightly in November, according to pollster Ipsos.

Some 29% of people said they had a favourable opinion of Sunak, down from 34% in October, while 39% said they had an unfavourable view, only slightly up from 38%.

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Last week former cabinet minister Sajid Javid became the most prominent Tory MP to announce he was stepping back at the next general election.

He joined a steady stream of Tory colleagues saying they would not run at the next vote, which will be no later than January 2025, including Chloe Smith, William Wragg and rising star Dehenna Davison.

Chris Hopkins, Political Research Director at Savanta, said: “Last time we published an MRP model, I spoke of both the potential and precarious nature of the 56-seat majority and 12pt lead the poll gave the Labour Party during their conference.

“Even the most optimistic Labour supporter would not have foreseen what was to come, such was the subsequent Conservative collapse, and therefore this latest MRP model reflects the position now, of two parties experiencing widely differing electoral fortunes.”